Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Detroit Tigers

2026-08-06 01:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Predicción 57.15%1.75momio equitativo
EV -2.28%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -3.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.16%57.17%57.11%58.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.671.681.7162.50%59.85%59.52%58.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Predicción 42.85%2.33momio equitativo
EV +0.708%
Ventaja +0.301%
Kelly +0.524%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.83%42.83%42.89%43.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.222.202.3548.78%45.03%45.45%42.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Seattle Mariners (Local): 57.15%; Detroit Tigers (Visitante): 42.85%. Para Detroit Tigers (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.33. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.35, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.708%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV +0.708%E +0.301%K +0.524%G +0.004%1.7%2026-08-05 02:04
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.149%E -0.064%K -0.112%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-05 01:09
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.85%E -1.68%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.01%E -0.436%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-05 00:24
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.01%E -0.436%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 00:25
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.01%E -0.436%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 01:10
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.01%E -0.436%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 01:09
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.44%E -0.624%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-05 00:14
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.44%E -0.624%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 01:59
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.58%E -1.59%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 20:49
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.58%E -1.59%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 23:05
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.57%E -2.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.58%E -1.59%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 01:45
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.58%E -1.59%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 01:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.58%E -1.59%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 01:54
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.58%E -1.59%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 01:55
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -4.01%E -1.79%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 01:49
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.01%E -1.79%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 20:45
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.01%E -1.79%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 01:25
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.57%E -2.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -4.01%E -1.79%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:29
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.01%E -1.79%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 00:35
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.43%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 21:40
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.43%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 01:54
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.43%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 01:55
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.43%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 01:55
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.43%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 01:54
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.57%E -2.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.86%E -2.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 00:29
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.57%E -2.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.86%E -2.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:54
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 02:34
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:54
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:54
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:55
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:55
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:55
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:54
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 02:24
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.57%E -2.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:55
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.57%E -2.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:54
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.57%E -2.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:54
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.57%E -2.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:54
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.57%E -2.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.57%E -2.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:54
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.57%E -2.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:55
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.57%E -2.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:54
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.57%E -2.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 02:39
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.14%E -3.10%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 00:29
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 20:43
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 20:44
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 00:28
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 01:23
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.14%E -3.10%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -6.15%E -2.81%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 00:27
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.58%E -3.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 02:40
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.58%E -3.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 02:40
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -7.01%E -3.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 01:54
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -7.01%E -3.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 01:55
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -9.15%E -4.32%K -8.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-05 01:55
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -10.01%E -4.76%K -9.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-05 01:45
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -8.57%E -5.35%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -12.15%E -5.93%K -11.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-04 20:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%0.4%2026-08-05 01:50
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-05 02:35
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-04 22:05
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-08-05 02:30
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%3.9%2026-08-05 02:40
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%7.6%2026-08-05 02:40