النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Seattle Mariners v Detroit Tigers

البداية: 2026-08-06 01:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Seattle Mariners 4–2 Detroit Tigers

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Seattle Mariners (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.17%1.72السعر العادل
EV -1.70%
الأفضلية -1.00%
Kelly -2.46%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.85%58.25%58.21%59.50%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.551.641.641.6964.52%60.95%60.98%59.17%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Detroit Tigers (الضيف)

التنبؤ 41.83%2.39السعر العادل
EV +1.23%
الأفضلية +0.509%
Kelly +0.868%
النمو +0.011%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.42

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.50%41.75%41.79%43.15%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.192.292.302.4245.66%43.70%43.48%41.32%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Seattle Mariners (المضيف)⁩: ⁨58.17%⁩؛ ⁨Detroit Tigers (الضيف)⁩: ⁨41.83%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Detroit Tigers (الضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨2.39⁩. عرضت شركتا مراهنات (2) سعري إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨2.42⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+1.23%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV +1.23%E +0.509%K +0.868%G +0.011%1.9%2026-08-06 01:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.86%E -1.71%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV +0.396%E +0.165%K +0.283%G +0.001%1.5%2026-08-05 22:50
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -3.44%E -2.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -0.022%E -0.009%K -0.016%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-06 01:20
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -2.28%E -1.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -0.441%E -0.185%K -0.319%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-05 22:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.77%E -3.56%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -0.441%E -0.185%K -0.319%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 01:15
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%EV -1.70%E -1.00%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%EV -1.28%E -0.541%K -0.939%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-05 22:24
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -2.28%E -1.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -1.28%E -0.541%K -0.939%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-06 00:40
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -1.70%E -1.00%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -1.70%E -0.722%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-05 22:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.19%E -3.18%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.70%E -0.722%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 01:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.28%E -1.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.11%E -0.903%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 00:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.28%E -1.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.11%E -0.903%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 00:40
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -2.86%E -1.71%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-06 00:30
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -3.44%E -2.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-06 00:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -3.44%E -2.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-06 00:50
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.28%E -1.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.95%E -1.27%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-06 01:39
Bovada🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -5.19%E -3.18%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -2.95%E -1.27%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 01:35
theScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.28%E -1.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -3.37%E -1.46%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-05 20:55
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.77%E -3.56%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.37%E -1.46%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 22:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 00:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 01:39
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 00:50
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 22:34
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 22:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.60%E -2.81%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.60%E -2.81%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 00:50
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.60%E -2.81%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 00:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.60%E -2.81%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 00:50
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.60%E -2.81%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 00:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.60%E -2.81%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 00:50
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.60%E -2.81%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 00:50
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.60%E -2.81%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 00:50
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.19%E -3.18%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 01:25
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.77%E -3.56%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 01:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.77%E -3.56%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 01:25
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.60%E -2.81%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.62%E -2.03%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 01:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.19%E -3.18%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.62%E -2.03%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 01:39
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.19%E -3.18%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.62%E -2.03%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 00:50
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.60%E -2.81%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.04%E -2.22%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 01:14
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.19%E -3.18%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.04%E -2.22%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 01:15
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.19%E -3.18%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.04%E -2.22%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 01:15
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 01:10
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 20:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 20:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 20:54
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 01:40
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 01:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.60%E -2.81%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.60%E -2.81%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.19%E -3.18%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 01:25
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.77%E -3.56%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 01:39
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.77%E -3.56%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.35%E -3.94%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 00:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.35%E -3.94%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 00:50
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 23:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -9.84%E -6.35%K -17.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-06 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.86%E -1.71%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:39
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.86%E -1.71%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.77%E -3.56%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 22:35
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 01:33
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 01:33
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.68%E -5.53%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-06 00:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -8.39%E -3.83%K -7.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 01:14
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-08-06 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-08-06 01:40
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-05 22:20
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-05 22:35
Novig◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-06 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-08-06 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-08-06 01:40
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-08-06 01:40
Matchbook◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.5%2026-08-06 01:40
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%2.6%2026-08-06 01:35