Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Seattle Mariners v Detroit Tigers

2026-08-06 01:41 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prévision 57.15%1.75cote équitable
EV -2.28%
Avantage -1.33%
Kelly -3.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.16%57.17%57.11%58.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.671.681.7162.50%59.85%59.52%58.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Detroit Tigers (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.85%2.33cote équitable
EV +0.708%
Avantage +0.301%
Kelly +0.524%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.83%42.83%42.89%43.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.222.202.3548.78%45.03%45.45%42.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Seattle Mariners (Local) : 57.15% ; Detroit Tigers (Visiteur) : 42.85%. Pour Detroit Tigers (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.33. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.35, pour une espérance positive de +0.708%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV +0.708%E +0.301%K +0.524%G +0.004%1.7%2026-08-05 02:04
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.149%E -0.064%K -0.112%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-05 01:09
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.85%E -1.68%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.01%E -0.436%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-05 00:24
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.01%E -0.436%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 00:25
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.01%E -0.436%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 01:10
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.01%E -0.436%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 01:09
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.44%E -0.624%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-05 00:14
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.44%E -0.624%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 01:59
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.58%E -1.59%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 20:49
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.58%E -1.59%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 23:05
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.57%E -2.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.58%E -1.59%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 01:45
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.58%E -1.59%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 01:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.58%E -1.59%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 01:54
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.58%E -1.59%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 01:55
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -4.01%E -1.79%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 01:49
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.01%E -1.79%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 20:45
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.01%E -1.79%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 01:25
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.57%E -2.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -4.01%E -1.79%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:29
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.01%E -1.79%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 00:35
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.43%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 21:40
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.43%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 01:54
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.43%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 01:55
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.43%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 01:55
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.43%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 01:54
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.57%E -2.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.86%E -2.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 00:29
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.57%E -2.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.86%E -2.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:54
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 02:34
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:54
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:54
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:55
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:55
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:55
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:54
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 02:24
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.57%E -2.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:55
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.57%E -2.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:54
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.57%E -2.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:54
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.57%E -2.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:54
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.57%E -2.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.57%E -2.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:54
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.57%E -2.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:55
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.57%E -2.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:54
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.57%E -2.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 02:39
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.14%E -3.10%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 00:29
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 20:43
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 20:44
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 00:28
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 01:23
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.14%E -3.10%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -6.15%E -2.81%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 00:27
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.58%E -3.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 02:40
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.58%E -3.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 02:40
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -7.01%E -3.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 01:54
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -7.01%E -3.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 01:55
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -9.15%E -4.32%K -8.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-05 01:55
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -10.01%E -4.76%K -9.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-05 01:45
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -8.57%E -5.35%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -12.15%E -5.93%K -11.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-04 20:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%0.4%2026-08-05 01:50
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-05 02:35
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-04 22:05
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-08-05 02:30
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%3.9%2026-08-05 02:40
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%7.6%2026-08-05 02:40