Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Detroit Tigers

Início: 2026-08-06 01:41 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 4–2 Detroit Tigers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 58.17%1.72odd justa
EV -1.70%
Vantagem -1.00%
Kelly -2.46%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%58.25%58.21%59.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.641.641.6964.52%60.95%60.98%59.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Previsão 41.83%2.39odd justa
EV +1.23%
Vantagem +0.509%
Kelly +0.868%
Crescimento +0.011%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.50%41.75%41.79%43.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.192.292.302.4245.66%43.70%43.48%41.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Seattle Mariners (Local): 58.17%; Detroit Tigers (Visitante): 41.83%. Para Detroit Tigers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.39. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.42, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.23%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV +1.23%E +0.509%K +0.868%G +0.011%1.9%2026-08-06 01:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.86%E -1.71%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV +0.396%E +0.165%K +0.283%G +0.001%1.5%2026-08-05 22:50
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -3.44%E -2.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -0.022%E -0.009%K -0.016%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-06 01:20
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -2.28%E -1.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -0.441%E -0.185%K -0.319%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-05 22:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.77%E -3.56%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -0.441%E -0.185%K -0.319%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 01:15
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%EV -1.70%E -1.00%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%EV -1.28%E -0.541%K -0.939%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-05 22:24
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -2.28%E -1.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -1.28%E -0.541%K -0.939%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-06 00:40
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -1.70%E -1.00%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -1.70%E -0.722%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-05 22:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.19%E -3.18%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.70%E -0.722%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 01:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.28%E -1.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.11%E -0.903%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 00:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.28%E -1.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.11%E -0.903%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 00:40
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -2.86%E -1.71%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-06 00:30
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -3.44%E -2.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-06 00:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -3.44%E -2.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-06 00:50
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.28%E -1.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.95%E -1.27%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-06 01:39
Bovada🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -5.19%E -3.18%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -2.95%E -1.27%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 01:35
theScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.28%E -1.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -3.37%E -1.46%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-05 20:55
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.77%E -3.56%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.37%E -1.46%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 22:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 00:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 01:39
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 00:50
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 22:34
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 22:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.60%E -2.81%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.60%E -2.81%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 00:50
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.60%E -2.81%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 00:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.60%E -2.81%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 00:50
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.60%E -2.81%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 00:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.60%E -2.81%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 00:50
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.60%E -2.81%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 00:50
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.60%E -2.81%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 00:50
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.19%E -3.18%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 01:25
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.77%E -3.56%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 01:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.77%E -3.56%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 01:25
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.60%E -2.81%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.62%E -2.03%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 01:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.19%E -3.18%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.62%E -2.03%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 01:39
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.19%E -3.18%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.62%E -2.03%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 00:50
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.60%E -2.81%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.04%E -2.22%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 01:14
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.19%E -3.18%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.04%E -2.22%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 01:15
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.19%E -3.18%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.04%E -2.22%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 01:15
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 01:10
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 20:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 20:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 20:54
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 01:40
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 01:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.60%E -2.81%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.60%E -2.81%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.19%E -3.18%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 01:25
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.77%E -3.56%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 01:39
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.77%E -3.56%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.35%E -3.94%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 00:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.35%E -3.94%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 00:50
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 23:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -9.84%E -6.35%K -17.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-06 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.86%E -1.71%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:39
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.86%E -1.71%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.77%E -3.56%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 22:35
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 01:33
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 01:33
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.68%E -5.53%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-06 00:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -8.39%E -3.83%K -7.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 01:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-08-06 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-08-06 01:40
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-05 22:20
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-05 22:35
Novig◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-06 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-08-06 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-08-06 01:40
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-08-06 01:40
Matchbook◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.5%2026-08-06 01:40
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%2.6%2026-08-06 01:35