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Seattle Mariners v Cleveland Guardians
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Seattle Mariners (Local)
Prediction 62.80%1.59fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.898%
Kelly -2.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.54%62.65%62.92%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.531.531.5768.97%65.44%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cleveland Guardians (Visit)
Prediction 37.20%2.69fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.676%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%37.35%37.08%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.542.552.6442.55%39.44%39.22%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Mariners (Local): 62.80%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 37.20%. For Seattle Mariners (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.59. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.57, with an expected value of -1.41%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -1.41%E -0.898%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -2.90%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-28 00:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -6.25%E -2.48%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.78%E -0.676%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-28 00:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -2.16%E -0.820%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -2.16%E -0.820%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -2.90%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -3.64%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.29%E -2.14%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-28 02:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.29%E -2.14%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 18:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 00:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.02%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 18:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 21:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 22:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -3.64%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-28 00:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.02%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-28 00:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 00:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.88%E -2.32%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-28 00:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.18%E -3.43%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.39%E -1.71%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.18%E -3.43%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.39%E -1.71%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.18%E -3.43%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 21:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 02:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 18:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 21:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 21:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 21:22 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 21:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -8.32%E -5.70%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.71%E -4.46%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-28 00:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -12.57%E -5.35%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -12.57%E -5.35%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-03-28 02:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14% | 2.0% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23% | 2.1% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32% | 2.3% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.21% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.79% | 9.3% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |