مدرسة الاحتمالات

Seattle Mariners v Cleveland Guardians

البداية: 2026-03-29 01:40 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Seattle Mariners (المضيف)

التنبؤ 62.80%1.59السعر العادل
EV -1.41%
الأفضلية -0.898%
Kelly -2.47%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
61.54%62.65%62.92%63.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.451.531.531.5768.97%65.44%65.36%63.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cleveland Guardians (الضيف)

التنبؤ 37.20%2.69السعر العادل
EV -1.78%
الأفضلية -0.676%
Kelly -1.09%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.64

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.59%37.35%37.08%38.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.352.542.552.6442.55%39.44%39.22%37.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -1.41%E -0.898%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -2.90%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-28 00:05
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -6.25%E -2.48%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 18:50
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.78%E -0.676%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 00:15
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -2.16%E -0.820%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-28 03:00
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -2.16%E -0.820%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-28 03:00
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -2.90%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-28 03:00
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -3.64%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-28 03:00
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.29%E -2.14%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-28 02:45
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.29%E -2.14%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 01:35
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 18:50
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 00:30
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 21:30
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 01:45
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.02%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 18:55
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:25
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 03:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 22:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 22:00
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 22:00
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 22:00
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 03:10
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -3.64%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 00:00
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.02%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:24
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 00:00
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:40
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.88%E -2.32%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 00:00
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 18:50
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.18%E -3.43%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.39%E -1.71%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 03:10
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.18%E -3.43%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.39%E -1.71%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 03:05
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.18%E -3.43%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 21:25
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:00
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 18:49
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 21:20
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 01:40
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 21:20
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 21:25
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 21:22
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 21:25
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -8.32%E -5.70%K -18.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.71%E -4.46%K -7.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-28 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -12.57%E -5.35%K -9.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-28 01:40
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -12.57%E -5.35%K -9.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-28 01:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-03-28 02:05
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-03-28 01:40
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-03-28 03:00
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-03-28 01:50
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 62.21%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.79%9.3%2026-03-28 03:10