L’École des cotes

Seattle Mariners v Cleveland Guardians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-29 01:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prévision 62.80%1.59cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.898%
Kelly -2.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.54%62.65%62.92%63.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.531.531.5768.97%65.44%65.36%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.20%2.69cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -0.676%
Kelly -1.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.59%37.35%37.08%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.542.552.6442.55%39.44%39.22%37.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -1.41%E -0.898%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -2.90%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-28 00:05
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -6.25%E -2.48%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 18:50
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.78%E -0.676%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 00:15
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -2.16%E -0.820%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-28 03:00
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -2.16%E -0.820%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-28 03:00
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -2.90%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-28 03:00
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -3.64%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-28 03:00
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.29%E -2.14%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-28 02:45
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.29%E -2.14%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 01:35
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 18:50
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 00:30
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 21:30
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 01:45
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.02%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 18:55
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:25
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 03:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 22:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 22:00
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 22:00
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 22:00
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 03:10
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -3.64%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 00:00
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.02%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:24
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 00:00
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:40
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.88%E -2.32%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 00:00
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 18:50
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.18%E -3.43%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.39%E -1.71%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 03:10
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.18%E -3.43%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.39%E -1.71%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 03:05
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.18%E -3.43%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 21:25
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:00
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 18:49
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 21:20
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 01:40
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 21:20
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 21:25
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 21:22
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 21:25
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -8.32%E -5.70%K -18.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.71%E -4.46%K -7.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-28 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -12.57%E -5.35%K -9.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-28 01:40
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -12.57%E -5.35%K -9.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-28 01:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-03-28 02:05
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-03-28 01:40
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-03-28 03:00
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-03-28 01:50
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 62.21%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.79%9.3%2026-03-28 03:10