Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-03-29 01:40 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 62.80%1.59odd justa
EV -1.41%
Vantagem -0.898%
Kelly -2.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.54%62.65%62.92%63.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.451.531.531.5768.97%65.44%65.36%63.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 37.20%2.69odd justa
EV -1.78%
Vantagem -0.676%
Kelly -1.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.59%37.35%37.08%38.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.542.552.6442.55%39.44%39.22%37.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Seattle Mariners (Local): 62.80%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 37.20%. Para Seattle Mariners (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.59. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.57, com valor esperado de -1.41%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -1.41%E -0.898%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -2.90%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-28 00:05
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -6.25%E -2.48%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.78%E -0.676%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 00:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -2.16%E -0.820%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-28 03:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -2.16%E -0.820%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-28 03:00
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -2.90%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-28 03:00
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -3.64%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-28 03:00
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.29%E -2.14%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-28 02:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.29%E -2.14%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 01:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 18:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 00:30
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 21:30
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 01:45
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.02%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 18:55
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:25
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 03:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 22:00
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 22:00
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 22:00
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 03:10
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -3.64%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 00:00
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.02%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 00:00
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.88%E -2.32%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 00:00
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 18:50
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.18%E -3.43%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.39%E -1.71%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 03:10
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.18%E -3.43%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.39%E -1.71%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 03:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.18%E -3.43%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 21:25
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:00
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 18:49
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 21:20
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 01:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 21:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 21:25
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 21:22
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 21:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -8.32%E -5.70%K -18.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.71%E -4.46%K -7.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-28 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -12.57%E -5.35%K -9.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-28 01:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -12.57%E -5.35%K -9.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-28 01:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-03-28 02:05
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-03-28 01:40
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-03-28 03:00
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-03-28 01:50
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 62.21%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.79%9.3%2026-03-28 03:10