La escuela de los momios

Seattle Mariners v Cleveland Guardians

Inicio: 2026-03-29 01:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Predicción 62.80%1.59momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.898%
Kelly -2.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.54%62.65%62.92%63.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.531.531.5768.97%65.44%65.36%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Predicción 37.20%2.69momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -0.676%
Kelly -1.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.59%37.35%37.08%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.542.552.6442.55%39.44%39.22%37.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -1.41%E -0.898%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -2.90%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-28 00:05
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -6.25%E -2.48%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 18:50
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.78%E -0.676%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 00:15
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -2.16%E -0.820%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-28 03:00
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -2.16%E -0.820%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-28 03:00
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -2.90%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-28 03:00
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -3.64%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-28 03:00
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.67%E -1.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.29%E -2.14%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-28 02:45
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.29%E -2.14%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 01:35
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 18:50
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 00:30
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 21:30
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 01:45
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.02%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 18:55
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:25
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 03:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 22:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 22:00
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 22:00
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 22:00
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 03:10
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -3.64%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 00:00
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.02%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:24
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 00:00
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:40
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.88%E -2.32%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 00:00
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 18:50
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.18%E -3.43%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.39%E -1.71%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 03:10
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.18%E -3.43%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.39%E -1.71%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 03:05
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.18%E -3.43%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 21:25
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:00
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 18:49
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 21:20
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 01:40
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 21:20
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 21:25
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 21:22
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 21:25
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -8.32%E -5.70%K -18.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.71%E -4.46%K -7.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-28 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -12.57%E -5.35%K -9.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-28 01:40
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -8.94%E -6.17%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -12.57%E -5.35%K -9.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-28 01:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-03-28 02:05
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-03-28 01:40
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-03-28 03:00
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-03-28 01:50
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 62.21%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.79%9.3%2026-03-28 03:10