Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Mariners v Chicago Cubs

2026-08-23 20:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prediction 49.91%2.00fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%49.81%50.00%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.911.911.9654.05%52.24%52.36%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Visit)

Prediction 50.09%2.00fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.932%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%50.19%50.00%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.901.901.9654.95%52.61%52.63%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Seattle Mariners (Local): 49.91%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 50.09%. For Chicago Cubs (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.96, with an expected value of -1.83%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.17%E -1.11%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.83%E -0.932%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 23:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.67%E -1.37%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.33%E -1.19%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 19:00
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.67%E -1.37%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.33%E -1.19%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.67%E -1.37%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.33%E -1.19%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 19:00
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.67%E -1.37%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.33%E -1.19%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 18:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.67%E -1.37%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.33%E -1.19%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 19:44
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.67%E -1.37%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.33%E -1.19%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 23:25
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.67%E -1.37%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.33%E -1.19%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-23 00:05
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.67%E -1.37%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 19:54
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.73%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-23 00:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.67%E -1.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 01:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.67%E -1.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 01:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.67%E -1.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 01:14
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.67%E -1.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 01:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.67%E -1.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 01:15
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.67%E -1.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.33%E -2.82%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 23:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.17%E -2.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 00:59
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.17%E -2.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 19:00
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.17%E -2.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.33%E -2.82%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 01:14
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.17%E -2.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.33%E -2.82%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 01:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.17%E -2.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.33%E -2.82%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 01:15
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.17%E -2.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.33%E -2.82%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 01:14
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.17%E -2.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.33%E -2.82%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 01:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.17%E -2.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.33%E -2.82%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 01:15
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 19:00
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 00:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 19:00
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 00:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 21:55
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 21:55
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 21:55
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 01:04
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 00:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.33%E -2.82%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 19:00
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 01:15
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 01:00
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 01:00
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 20:14
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 00:45
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 23:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 19:00
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 21:55
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 23:10
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 00:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 01:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -5.67%E -3.00%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 01:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -5.67%E -3.00%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 01:14
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 19:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.16%E -3.85%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.84%E -4.26%K -9.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 00:59
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.34%E -4.56%K -10.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 01:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.84%E -4.86%K -10.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 00:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.01I 49.75%NM 49.62%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.38%0.3%2026-08-23 01:50
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.0%2026-08-22 23:55
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-23 00:00
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-22 23:55
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%5.5%2026-08-23 01:10
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%8.7%2026-08-23 01:50

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