Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Seattle Mariners v Chicago Cubs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-23 20:11 UTC

Score final : Seattle Mariners 2–19 Chicago Cubs

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prévision 45.80%2.18cote équitable
EV +0.307%
Avantage +0.140%
Kelly +0.258%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.74%45.81%45.83%48.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.932.072.062.1951.81%48.34%48.54%45.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.20%1.85cote équitable
EV +0.266%
Avantage +0.144%
Kelly +0.313%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.32%54.19%54.17%55.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.701.781.771.8558.82%56.30%56.50%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Seattle Mariners (Local) : 45.80% ; Chicago Cubs (Visiteur) : 54.20%. Pour Seattle Mariners (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.18. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.19, soit une espérance positive de +0.307%.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -6.56%E -3.22%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV +0.266%E +0.144%K +0.313%G +0.001%3.1%2026-08-23 18:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -10.69%E -5.48%K -11.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +0.266%E +0.144%K +0.313%G +0.001%5.3%2026-08-23 18:29
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -5.65%E -2.74%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -0.818%E -0.447%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 20:10
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -5.65%E -2.74%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -0.818%E -0.447%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 20:09
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.44%E -1.15%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.36%E -0.747%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-23 19:59
Everygame🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.90%E -1.37%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.36%E -0.747%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-23 19:52
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.36%E -0.747%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-23 18:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.36%E -0.747%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-23 18:44
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.98%E -0.927%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-23 20:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.90%E -1.37%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-23 20:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -6.56%E -3.22%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 20:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -6.56%E -3.22%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 20:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-23 20:04
theScore Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -3.36%E -1.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-23 19:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -5.19%E -2.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 19:59
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 19:58
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 20:10
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 20:10
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 20:09
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 19:24
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 14:30
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.07%E -0.494%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.99%E -1.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-23 20:10
BetAnything🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -2.44%E -1.15%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -2.99%E -1.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-23 20:10
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -2.99%E -1.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 20:09
Caesars🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV +0.307%E +0.140%K +0.258%G +0.001%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -3.53%E -1.98%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-23 19:58
GTbets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.151%E -0.069%K -0.128%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.53%E -1.98%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-23 20:09
BetUS🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.609%E -0.281%K -0.521%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.53%E -1.98%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-23 20:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.07%E -0.494%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.53%E -1.98%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-23 20:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.53%E -1.98%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 20:05
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 19:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 20:05
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.65%E -2.74%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 20:09
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 20:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 20:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 20:09
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.73%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.61%E -2.62%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 20:09
SportsBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.19%E -2.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.61%E -2.62%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 20:09
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.19%E -2.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.61%E -2.62%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 19:59
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.19%E -2.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.61%E -2.62%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 19:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.61%E -2.62%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 19:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.61%E -2.62%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 20:05
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-23 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 20:05
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 20:10
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.73%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 20:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.73%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 19:59
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 19:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 20:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 19:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 19:44
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 20:03
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 20:04
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -11.60%E -6.01%K -12.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 18:44
Bovada🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -2.44%E -1.15%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.70%E -3.27%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 20:08
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.70%E -3.27%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 20:09
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.70%E -3.27%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 20:08
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.70%E -3.27%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 20:05
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.24%E -3.61%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 20:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -7.94%E -3.95%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.78%E -3.94%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 20:08
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.32%E -4.28%K -10.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 20:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.86%E -4.63%K -11.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 20:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-08-23 20:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-08-23 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-08-23 20:09
ProphetX◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-08-23 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-08-23 20:10
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-23 20:09
Novig◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%1.6%2026-08-23 20:09
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-08-23 19:59
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%2.9%2026-08-23 20:09
BetOpenly◎2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%4.9%2026-08-23 20:05