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Seattle Mariners v Chicago Cubs
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Seattle Mariners (Local)
Predicción 45.80%2.18momio equitativo
EV +0.307%
Ventaja +0.140%
Kelly +0.258%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.74%45.81%45.83%48.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.932.072.062.1951.81%48.34%48.54%45.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chicago Cubs (Visitante)
Predicción 54.20%1.85momio equitativo
EV +0.266%
Ventaja +0.144%
Kelly +0.313%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.32%54.19%54.17%55.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.781.771.8558.82%56.30%56.50%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Seattle Mariners (Local): 45.80%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 54.20%. Para Seattle Mariners (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.18. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.19, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.307%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -6.56%E -3.22%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV +0.266%E +0.144%K +0.313%G +0.001% | 3.1% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -10.69%E -5.48%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +0.266%E +0.144%K +0.313%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 18:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -5.65%E -2.74%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -0.818%E -0.447%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-23 20:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -5.65%E -2.74%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -0.818%E -0.447%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-23 20:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.44%E -1.15%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.36%E -0.747%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-23 19:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.90%E -1.37%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.36%E -0.747%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-23 19:52 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.36%E -0.747%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.36%E -0.747%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.98%E -0.927%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-23 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.90%E -1.37%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-23 20:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -6.56%E -3.22%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-23 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -6.56%E -3.22%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-23 20:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-23 20:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -3.36%E -1.59%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-23 19:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -5.19%E -2.51%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-23 19:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-23 19:58 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 20:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 20:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 20:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-23 19:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-23 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.07%E -0.494%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.99%E -1.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-23 20:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -2.44%E -1.15%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -2.99%E -1.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-23 20:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -2.99%E -1.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 20:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV +0.307%E +0.140%K +0.258%G +0.001% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -3.53%E -1.98%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-23 19:58 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.151%E -0.069%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.53%E -1.98%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-23 20:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.609%E -0.281%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.53%E -1.98%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-23 20:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.07%E -0.494%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.53%E -1.98%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-23 20:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.53%E -1.98%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-23 20:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-23 19:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-23 20:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.65%E -2.74%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 20:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 20:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 20:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 20:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.73%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.61%E -2.62%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 20:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.19%E -2.51%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.61%E -2.62%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 20:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.19%E -2.51%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.61%E -2.62%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 19:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.19%E -2.51%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.61%E -2.62%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 19:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.61%E -2.62%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-23 19:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.61%E -2.62%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-23 20:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-23 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 20:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 20:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.73%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 20:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.73%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 19:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 19:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 20:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 19:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 19:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 20:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 20:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -11.60%E -6.01%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -2.44%E -1.15%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.70%E -3.27%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 20:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.70%E -3.27%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 20:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.70%E -3.27%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 20:08 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.70%E -3.27%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 20:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.24%E -3.61%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 20:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -7.94%E -3.95%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.78%E -3.94%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 20:08 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.32%E -4.28%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 20:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.86%E -4.63%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 20:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73% | 0.1% | 2026-08-23 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-23 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-23 20:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-08-23 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 0.8% | 2026-08-23 20:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 20:09 |
| Novig◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66% | 1.6% | 2026-08-23 20:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 1.9% | 2026-08-23 19:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71% | 2.9% | 2026-08-23 20:09 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 20:05 |