Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-08-23 20:11 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 2–19 Chicago Cubs

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 45.80%2.18odd justa
EV +0.307%
Vantagem +0.140%
Kelly +0.258%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.74%45.81%45.83%48.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.932.072.062.1951.81%48.34%48.54%45.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 54.20%1.85odd justa
EV +0.266%
Vantagem +0.144%
Kelly +0.313%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.32%54.19%54.17%55.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.781.771.8558.82%56.30%56.50%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Seattle Mariners (Local): 45.80%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 54.20%. Para Seattle Mariners (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.18. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.19, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.307%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -6.56%E -3.22%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV +0.266%E +0.144%K +0.313%G +0.001%3.1%2026-08-23 18:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -10.69%E -5.48%K -11.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +0.266%E +0.144%K +0.313%G +0.001%5.3%2026-08-23 18:29
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -5.65%E -2.74%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -0.818%E -0.447%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 20:10
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -5.65%E -2.74%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -0.818%E -0.447%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 20:09
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.44%E -1.15%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.36%E -0.747%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-23 19:59
Everygame🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.90%E -1.37%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.36%E -0.747%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-23 19:52
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.36%E -0.747%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-23 18:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.36%E -0.747%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-23 18:44
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.98%E -0.927%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-23 20:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.90%E -1.37%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-23 20:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -6.56%E -3.22%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 20:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -6.56%E -3.22%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 20:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-23 20:04
theScore Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -3.36%E -1.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-23 19:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -5.19%E -2.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 19:59
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 19:58
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 20:10
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 20:10
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 20:09
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 19:24
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 14:30
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.07%E -0.494%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.99%E -1.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-23 20:10
BetAnything🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -2.44%E -1.15%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -2.99%E -1.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-23 20:10
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -2.99%E -1.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 20:09
Caesars🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV +0.307%E +0.140%K +0.258%G +0.001%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -3.53%E -1.98%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-23 19:58
GTbets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.151%E -0.069%K -0.128%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.53%E -1.98%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-23 20:09
BetUS🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.609%E -0.281%K -0.521%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.53%E -1.98%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-23 20:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.07%E -0.494%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.53%E -1.98%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-23 20:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.53%E -1.98%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 20:05
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 19:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 20:05
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.65%E -2.74%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 20:09
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 20:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 20:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 20:09
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.73%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.61%E -2.62%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 20:09
SportsBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.19%E -2.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.61%E -2.62%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 20:09
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.19%E -2.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.61%E -2.62%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 19:59
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.19%E -2.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.61%E -2.62%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 19:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.61%E -2.62%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 19:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.61%E -2.62%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 20:05
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-23 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 20:05
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 20:10
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.73%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 20:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.73%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 19:59
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 19:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 20:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 19:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 19:44
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 20:03
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 20:04
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -11.60%E -6.01%K -12.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 18:44
Bovada🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -2.44%E -1.15%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.70%E -3.27%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 20:08
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.70%E -3.27%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 20:09
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.70%E -3.27%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 20:08
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.70%E -3.27%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 20:05
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.24%E -3.61%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 20:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -7.94%E -3.95%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.78%E -3.94%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 20:08
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.32%E -4.28%K -10.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 20:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.86%E -4.63%K -11.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 20:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-08-23 20:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-08-23 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-08-23 20:09
ProphetX◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-08-23 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-08-23 20:10
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-23 20:09
Novig◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%1.6%2026-08-23 20:09
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-08-23 19:59
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%2.9%2026-08-23 20:09
BetOpenly◎2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%4.9%2026-08-23 20:05