默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Seattle Mariners v Chicago Cubs

开赛时间: 2026-08-23 20:11 UTC

最终结果: Seattle Mariners 2–19 Chicago Cubs

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

62 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Seattle Mariners (主队)

预测 45.80%2.18公平赔率
EV +0.307%
优势 +0.140%
Kelly +0.258%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 2.19

博彩公司预测分布
44.74%45.81%45.83%48.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.932.072.062.1951.81%48.34%48.54%45.66%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chicago Cubs (客队)

预测 54.20%1.85公平赔率
EV +0.266%
优势 +0.144%
Kelly +0.313%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布
51.32%54.19%54.17%55.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.781.771.8558.82%56.30%56.50%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Seattle Mariners (主队):45.80%;Chicago Cubs (客队):54.20%。 对于“Seattle Mariners (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.18。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.19,对应+0.307%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -6.56%E -3.22%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV +0.266%E +0.144%K +0.313%G +0.001%3.1%2026-08-23 18:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -10.69%E -5.48%K -11.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +0.266%E +0.144%K +0.313%G +0.001%5.3%2026-08-23 18:29
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -5.65%E -2.74%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -0.818%E -0.447%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 20:10
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -5.65%E -2.74%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -0.818%E -0.447%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 20:09
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.44%E -1.15%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.36%E -0.747%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-23 19:59
Everygame🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.90%E -1.37%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.36%E -0.747%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-23 19:52
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.36%E -0.747%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-23 18:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.36%E -0.747%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-23 18:44
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.98%E -0.927%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-23 20:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.90%E -1.37%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-23 20:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -6.56%E -3.22%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 20:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -6.56%E -3.22%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 20:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-23 20:04
theScore Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -3.36%E -1.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-23 19:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -5.19%E -2.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 19:59
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 19:58
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 20:10
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 20:10
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 20:09
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 19:24
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 14:30
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.07%E -0.494%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.99%E -1.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-23 20:10
BetAnything🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -2.44%E -1.15%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -2.99%E -1.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-23 20:10
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -2.99%E -1.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 20:09
Caesars🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV +0.307%E +0.140%K +0.258%G +0.001%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -3.53%E -1.98%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-23 19:58
GTbets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.151%E -0.069%K -0.128%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.53%E -1.98%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-23 20:09
BetUS🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.609%E -0.281%K -0.521%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.53%E -1.98%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-23 20:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.07%E -0.494%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.53%E -1.98%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-23 20:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.53%E -1.98%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 20:05
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 19:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 20:05
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.65%E -2.74%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 20:09
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 20:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 20:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 20:09
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.73%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.61%E -2.62%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 20:09
SportsBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.19%E -2.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.61%E -2.62%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 20:09
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.19%E -2.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.61%E -2.62%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 19:59
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.19%E -2.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.61%E -2.62%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 19:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.61%E -2.62%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 19:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.61%E -2.62%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 20:05
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-23 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 20:05
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 20:10
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.73%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 20:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.73%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 19:59
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 19:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 20:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 19:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 19:44
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 20:03
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 20:04
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -11.60%E -6.01%K -12.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 18:44
Bovada🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -2.44%E -1.15%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.70%E -3.27%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 20:08
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.70%E -3.27%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 20:09
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.70%E -3.27%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 20:08
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.70%E -3.27%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 20:05
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.24%E -3.61%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 20:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -7.94%E -3.95%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.78%E -3.94%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 20:08
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.32%E -4.28%K -10.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 20:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.86%E -4.63%K -11.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 20:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-08-23 20:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-08-23 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-08-23 20:09
ProphetX◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-08-23 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-08-23 20:10
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-23 20:09
Novig◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%1.6%2026-08-23 20:09
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-08-23 19:59
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%2.9%2026-08-23 20:09
BetOpenly◎2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%4.9%2026-08-23 20:05