Language:English
San Diego Padres v St. Louis Cardinals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego Padres (Local)
Prediction 56.12%1.78fair odd
EV -0.104%
Edge -0.059%
Kelly -0.134%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.81%56.06%56.17%57.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.701.711.7860.98%58.93%58.48%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)
Prediction 43.88%2.28fair odd
EV +0.921%
Edge +0.401%
Kelly +0.709%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.13%43.94%43.83%46.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.192.202.3048.78%45.65%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 56.12%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 43.88%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.921%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.921%E +0.401%K +0.709%G +0.007% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +0.044%E +0.019%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 21:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +0.044%E +0.019%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 21:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-09 23:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 22:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 22:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 22:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.96%E -4.85%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 22:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.96%E -4.85%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.96%E -4.85%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 22:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.96%E -4.85%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.59%E -1.17%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-09 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.59%E -1.17%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-09 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.59%E -1.17%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 23:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 06:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 21:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 00:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 02:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 05:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -0.104%E -0.059%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -0.666%E -0.376%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-09 20:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -5.16%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 20:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.34%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 22:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.34%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 20:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.16%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.34%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 21:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.78%E -2.20%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 20:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.91%E -1.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.22%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 22:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.79%E -1.02%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-09 21:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.91%E -1.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 20:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.91%E -1.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 20:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 20:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 20:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 20:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 21:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 21:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 21:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 22:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -1.23%E -0.697%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 23:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 23:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.20% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.80% | 0.1% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 22:29 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75% | 1.6% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.7% | 2026-05-09 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67% | 2.7% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |