La escuela de los momios

San Diego Padres v St. Louis Cardinals

Inicio: 2026-05-09 23:16 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 4–2 St. Louis Cardinals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Diego Padres (Local)

Predicción 56.12%1.78momio equitativo
EV -0.104%
Ventaja -0.059%
Kelly -0.134%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.81%56.06%56.17%57.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.641.701.711.7860.98%58.93%58.48%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Predicción 43.88%2.28momio equitativo
EV +0.921%
Ventaja +0.401%
Kelly +0.709%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.13%43.94%43.83%46.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.192.202.3048.78%45.65%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.921%E +0.401%K +0.709%G +0.007%3.0%2026-05-09 21:40
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +0.044%E +0.019%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 21:39
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +0.044%E +0.019%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 21:39
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-09 23:00
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-09 23:04
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:55
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:54
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:55
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:55
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:55
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:54
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:55
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.96%E -4.85%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 22:54
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.96%E -4.85%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 22:55
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.96%E -4.85%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 22:54
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.96%E -4.85%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 22:55
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.59%E -1.17%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-09 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.59%E -1.17%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-09 23:00
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.59%E -1.17%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-09 23:04
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 00:04
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 23:00
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 06:39
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 22:59
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 21:19
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 00:59
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 00:59
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 00:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 02:34
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 05:04
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -0.104%E -0.059%K -0.134%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-09 23:09
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -0.666%E -0.376%K -0.864%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-09 20:54
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -5.16%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 20:50
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.34%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 22:59
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.34%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:29
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.16%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.34%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 21:19
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.78%E -2.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 20:29
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.91%E -1.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.22%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 22:49
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.79%E -1.02%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-09 21:34
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.91%E -1.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.91%E -1.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 20:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:24
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:39
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 23:09
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 20:39
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 20:39
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:29
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 23:04
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 21:19
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 15:09
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 21:29
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:49
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 21:30
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 21:30
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 22:40
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 23:09
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -1.23%E -0.697%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 23:15
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 23:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 55.20%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.80%0.1%2026-05-09 23:09
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-09 23:09
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-09 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-09 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-09 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-09 23:10
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-09 22:29
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.6%2026-05-09 23:09
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-05-09 23:15
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%2.7%2026-05-09 23:09