مدرسة الاحتمالات

San Diego Padres v St. Louis Cardinals

البداية: 2026-05-09 23:16 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: San Diego Padres 4–2 St. Louis Cardinals

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

San Diego Padres (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.12%1.78السعر العادل
EV -0.104%
الأفضلية -0.059%
Kelly -0.134%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.78

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.81%56.06%56.17%57.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.641.701.711.7860.98%58.93%58.48%56.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

St. Louis Cardinals (الضيف)

التنبؤ 43.88%2.28السعر العادل
EV +0.921%
الأفضلية +0.401%
Kelly +0.709%
النمو +0.007%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.13%43.94%43.83%46.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.192.202.3048.78%45.65%45.45%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.921%E +0.401%K +0.709%G +0.007%3.0%2026-05-09 21:40
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +0.044%E +0.019%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 21:39
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +0.044%E +0.019%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 21:39
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-09 23:00
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-09 23:04
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:55
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:54
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:55
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:55
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:55
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:54
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:55
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.96%E -4.85%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 22:54
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.96%E -4.85%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 22:55
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.96%E -4.85%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 22:54
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.96%E -4.85%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 22:55
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.59%E -1.17%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-09 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.59%E -1.17%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-09 23:00
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.59%E -1.17%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-09 23:04
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 00:04
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 23:00
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 06:39
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 22:59
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 21:19
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 00:59
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 00:59
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 00:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 02:34
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 05:04
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -0.104%E -0.059%K -0.134%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-09 23:09
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -0.666%E -0.376%K -0.864%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-09 20:54
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -5.16%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 20:50
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.34%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 22:59
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.34%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:29
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.16%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.34%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 21:19
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.78%E -2.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 20:29
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.91%E -1.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.22%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 22:49
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.79%E -1.02%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-09 21:34
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.91%E -1.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.91%E -1.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 20:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:24
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:39
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 23:09
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 20:39
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 20:39
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:29
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 23:04
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 21:19
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 15:09
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 21:29
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:49
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 21:30
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 21:30
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 22:40
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 23:09
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -1.23%E -0.697%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 23:15
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 23:14
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 55.20%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.80%0.1%2026-05-09 23:09
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-09 23:09
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-09 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-09 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-09 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-09 23:10
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-09 22:29
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.6%2026-05-09 23:09
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-05-09 23:15
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%2.7%2026-05-09 23:09