A Escola das Odds

San Diego Padres v St. Louis Cardinals

Início: 2026-05-09 23:16 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 4–2 St. Louis Cardinals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

San Diego Padres (Local)

Previsão 56.12%1.78odd justa
EV -0.104%
Vantagem -0.059%
Kelly -0.134%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.81%56.06%56.17%57.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.641.701.711.7860.98%58.93%58.48%56.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 43.88%2.28odd justa
EV +0.921%
Vantagem +0.401%
Kelly +0.709%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.13%43.94%43.83%46.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.192.202.3048.78%45.65%45.45%43.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.921%E +0.401%K +0.709%G +0.007%3.0%2026-05-09 21:40
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +0.044%E +0.019%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 21:39
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +0.044%E +0.019%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 21:39
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-09 23:00
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-09 23:04
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:55
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:54
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:55
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:55
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:55
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:54
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:55
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.96%E -4.85%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 22:54
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.96%E -4.85%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 22:55
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.96%E -4.85%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 22:54
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.96%E -4.85%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 22:55
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.59%E -1.17%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-09 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.59%E -1.17%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-09 23:00
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.59%E -1.17%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-09 23:04
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 00:04
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 23:00
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 06:39
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 22:59
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 21:19
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 00:59
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 00:59
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 00:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 02:34
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 05:04
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -0.104%E -0.059%K -0.134%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-09 23:09
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -0.666%E -0.376%K -0.864%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-09 20:54
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -5.16%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 20:50
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.34%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 22:59
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.34%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:29
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.16%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.34%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 21:19
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.78%E -2.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 20:29
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.91%E -1.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.22%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 22:49
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.79%E -1.02%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-09 21:34
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.91%E -1.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.91%E -1.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 20:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:24
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:39
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 23:09
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 20:39
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 20:39
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:29
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 23:04
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 21:19
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 15:09
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 21:29
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:49
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 21:30
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 21:30
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 22:40
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 23:09
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -1.23%E -0.697%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 23:15
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 23:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 55.20%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.80%0.1%2026-05-09 23:09
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-09 23:09
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-09 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-09 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-09 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-09 23:10
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-09 22:29
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.6%2026-05-09 23:09
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-05-09 23:15
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%2.7%2026-05-09 23:09