L’École des cotes

San Diego Padres v St. Louis Cardinals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 23:16 UTC

Score final : San Diego Padres 4–2 St. Louis Cardinals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prévision 56.12%1.78cote équitable
EV -0.104%
Avantage -0.059%
Kelly -0.134%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.81%56.06%56.17%57.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.641.701.711.7860.98%58.93%58.48%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.88%2.28cote équitable
EV +0.921%
Avantage +0.401%
Kelly +0.709%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.13%43.94%43.83%46.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.192.202.3048.78%45.65%45.45%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.921%E +0.401%K +0.709%G +0.007%3.0%2026-05-09 21:40
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +0.044%E +0.019%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 21:39
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +0.044%E +0.019%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 21:39
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-09 23:00
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-09 23:04
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:55
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:54
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:55
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:55
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:55
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:54
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:55
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.96%E -4.85%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 22:54
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.96%E -4.85%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 22:55
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.96%E -4.85%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 22:54
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.96%E -4.85%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.27%E -0.566%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 22:55
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.59%E -1.17%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-09 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.59%E -1.17%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-09 23:00
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.59%E -1.17%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-09 23:04
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 00:04
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 23:00
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 06:39
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 22:59
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 21:19
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 00:59
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 00:59
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 00:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 02:34
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 05:04
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -0.104%E -0.059%K -0.134%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-09 23:09
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -0.666%E -0.376%K -0.864%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-09 20:54
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -5.16%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 20:50
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.34%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 22:59
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.34%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:29
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.16%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.34%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 21:19
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.78%E -2.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 20:29
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.91%E -1.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.22%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 22:49
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.79%E -1.02%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-09 21:34
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.91%E -1.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.91%E -1.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 20:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:24
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:39
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 23:09
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 20:39
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 20:39
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:29
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 23:04
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 21:19
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 15:09
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 21:29
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:49
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 21:30
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 21:30
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 22:40
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 23:09
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -1.23%E -0.697%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 23:15
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 23:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 55.20%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.80%0.1%2026-05-09 23:09
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-09 23:09
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-09 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-09 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-09 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-09 23:10
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-09 22:29
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.6%2026-05-09 23:09
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-05-09 23:15
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%2.7%2026-05-09 23:09