Language:English
San Diego Padres v Chicago White Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego Padres (Local)
Prediction 62.05%1.61fair odd
EV -0.723%
Edge -0.452%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.64%62.11%62.13%64.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.531.531.6067.57%65.44%65.36%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago White Sox (Visit)
Prediction 37.95%2.63fair odd
EV +2.47%
Edge +0.915%
Kelly +1.45%
Growth +0.036%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.71%37.89%37.87%39.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.552.532.7040.82%39.27%39.53%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 62.05%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 37.95%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.47%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +2.47%E +0.915%K +1.45%G +0.036% | 3.7% | 2026-05-03 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002% | 4.4% | 2026-05-03 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002% | 4.4% | 2026-05-03 00:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 00:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 00:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 00:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 00:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 00:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 00:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.17%E -5.52%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 00:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.17%E -5.52%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 00:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.17%E -5.52%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 00:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.17%E -5.52%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 00:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV +0.192%E +0.073%K +0.117%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-02 05:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -1.33%E -0.510%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -5.69%E -3.74%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -2.46%E -0.959%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-02 20:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -6.31%E -4.18%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -2.84%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 05:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-02 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 00:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-02 22:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 15:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -1.34%E -0.845%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -3.60%E -1.42%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 00:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.60%E -1.42%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 14:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.60%E -1.42%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 21:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -0.723%E -0.452%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 00:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -0.723%E -0.452%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -1.34%E -0.845%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-03 00:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -1.34%E -0.845%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-03 00:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.69%E -3.74%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.36%E -1.73%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 17:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -1.34%E -0.845%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-03 00:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.83%E -2.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-02 14:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 00:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 21:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 21:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 21:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 14:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.69%E -3.74%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 14:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 20:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.88%E -2.37%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.88%E -2.37%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 14:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -1.96%E -1.24%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -6.64%E -2.70%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 23:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.34%E -0.845%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-02 23:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.58%E -1.65%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-03 00:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 00:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.83%E -2.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 00:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 00:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 00:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-05-03 00:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 00:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 23:01 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80% | 1.5% | 2026-05-03 00:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98% | 2.1% | 2026-05-03 00:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 2.2% | 2026-05-03 00:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07% | 3.2% | 2026-05-03 00:40 |