La escuela de los momios

San Diego Padres v Chicago White Sox

Inicio: 2026-05-03 00:41 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 0–4 Chicago White Sox

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Diego Padres (Local)

Predicción 62.05%1.61momio equitativo
EV -0.723%
Ventaja -0.452%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.64%62.11%62.13%64.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.531.531.6067.57%65.44%65.36%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 37.95%2.63momio equitativo
EV +2.47%
Ventaja +0.915%
Kelly +1.45%
Crecimiento +0.036%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.71%37.89%37.87%39.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.552.532.7040.82%39.27%39.53%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +2.47%E +0.915%K +1.45%G +0.036%3.7%2026-05-03 00:40
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.4%2026-05-03 00:40
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.4%2026-05-03 00:40
Bally Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.17%E -5.52%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%5.3%2026-05-03 00:40
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.17%E -5.52%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%5.3%2026-05-03 00:39
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.17%E -5.52%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%5.3%2026-05-03 00:40
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.17%E -5.52%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%5.3%2026-05-03 00:40
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV +0.192%E +0.073%K +0.117%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 05:45
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -1.33%E -0.510%K -0.829%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 23:10
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -5.69%E -3.74%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -2.46%E -0.959%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 20:50
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -6.31%E -4.18%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -2.84%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 05:40
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 18:45
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 00:40
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 22:54
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 14:50
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 14:00
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 14:00
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 14:00
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 15:00
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -1.34%E -0.845%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -3.60%E -1.42%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 00:20
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.60%E -1.42%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 14:50
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.60%E -1.42%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 21:00
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -0.723%E -0.452%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 00:39
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -0.723%E -0.452%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -1.34%E -0.845%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-03 00:15
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -1.34%E -0.845%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-03 00:15
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.69%E -3.74%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 14:50
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.36%E -1.73%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:49
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -1.34%E -0.845%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-03 00:20
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 15:45
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 23:00
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.83%E -2.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 14:44
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 00:20
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 21:00
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 21:00
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 21:00
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 17:40
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 14:54
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.69%E -3.74%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 14:54
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 22:25
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 20:50
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.88%E -2.37%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 14:45
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.88%E -2.37%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 14:45
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -1.96%E -1.24%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -6.64%E -2.70%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 23:04
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.34%E -0.845%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 23:10
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.58%E -1.65%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 00:35
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 00:35
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.83%E -2.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 22:55
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 00:40
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 00:25
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 00:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-05-03 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-05-03 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-05-03 00:05
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-05-03 00:40
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-02 23:01
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-05-03 00:40
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-05-03 00:35
BetOpenly1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%2.2%2026-05-03 00:35
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%3.2%2026-05-03 00:40