مدرسة الاحتمالات

San Diego Padres v Chicago White Sox

البداية: 2026-05-03 00:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: San Diego Padres 0–4 Chicago White Sox

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

San Diego Padres (المضيف)

التنبؤ 62.05%1.61السعر العادل
EV -0.723%
الأفضلية -0.452%
Kelly -1.20%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.64%62.11%62.13%64.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.481.531.531.6067.57%65.44%65.36%62.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chicago White Sox (الضيف)

التنبؤ 37.95%2.63السعر العادل
EV +2.47%
الأفضلية +0.915%
Kelly +1.45%
النمو +0.036%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.71%37.89%37.87%39.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.452.552.532.7040.82%39.27%39.53%37.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +2.47%E +0.915%K +1.45%G +0.036%3.7%2026-05-03 00:40
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.4%2026-05-03 00:40
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.4%2026-05-03 00:40
Bally Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.17%E -5.52%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%5.3%2026-05-03 00:40
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.17%E -5.52%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%5.3%2026-05-03 00:39
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.17%E -5.52%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%5.3%2026-05-03 00:40
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.17%E -5.52%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%5.3%2026-05-03 00:40
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV +0.192%E +0.073%K +0.117%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 05:45
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -1.33%E -0.510%K -0.829%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 23:10
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -5.69%E -3.74%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -2.46%E -0.959%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 20:50
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -6.31%E -4.18%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -2.84%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 05:40
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 18:45
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 00:40
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 22:54
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 14:50
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 14:00
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 14:00
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 14:00
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 15:00
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -1.34%E -0.845%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -3.60%E -1.42%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 00:20
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.60%E -1.42%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 14:50
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.60%E -1.42%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 21:00
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -0.723%E -0.452%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 00:39
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -0.723%E -0.452%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -1.34%E -0.845%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-03 00:15
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -1.34%E -0.845%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-03 00:15
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.69%E -3.74%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 14:50
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.36%E -1.73%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:49
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -1.34%E -0.845%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-03 00:20
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 15:45
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 23:00
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.83%E -2.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 14:44
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 00:20
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 21:00
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 21:00
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 21:00
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 17:40
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 14:54
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.69%E -3.74%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 14:54
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 22:25
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 20:50
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.88%E -2.37%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 14:45
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.88%E -2.37%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 14:45
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -1.96%E -1.24%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -6.64%E -2.70%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 23:04
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.34%E -0.845%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 23:10
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.58%E -1.65%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 00:35
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 00:35
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.83%E -2.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 22:55
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 00:40
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 00:25
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 00:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (9)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-05-03 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-05-03 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-05-03 00:05
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-05-03 00:40
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-02 23:01
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-05-03 00:40
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-05-03 00:35
BetOpenly1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%2.2%2026-05-03 00:35
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%3.2%2026-05-03 00:40