默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

San Diego Padres v Chicago White Sox

开赛时间: 2026-05-03 00:41 UTC

最终结果: San Diego Padres 0–4 Chicago White Sox

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

60 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

San Diego Padres (主队)

预测 62.05%1.61公平赔率
EV -0.723%
优势 -0.452%
Kelly -1.20%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.60

博彩公司预测分布
60.64%62.11%62.13%64.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.481.531.531.6067.57%65.44%65.36%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chicago White Sox (客队)

预测 37.95%2.63公平赔率
EV +2.47%
优势 +0.915%
Kelly +1.45%
增长率 +0.036%

假设最高赔率为 2.70

博彩公司预测分布
35.71%37.89%37.87%39.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.552.532.7040.82%39.27%39.53%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:San Diego Padres (主队):62.05%;Chicago White Sox (客队):37.95%。 对于“Chicago White Sox (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.63。 当时有15家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.70,对应+2.47%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (60 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +2.47%E +0.915%K +1.45%G +0.036%3.7%2026-05-03 00:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.4%2026-05-03 00:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.4%2026-05-03 00:40
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.17%E -5.52%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%5.3%2026-05-03 00:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.17%E -5.52%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%5.3%2026-05-03 00:39
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.17%E -5.52%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%5.3%2026-05-03 00:40
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.17%E -5.52%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%5.3%2026-05-03 00:40
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV +0.192%E +0.073%K +0.117%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 05:45
LeoVegas🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -1.33%E -0.510%K -0.829%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -5.69%E -3.74%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -2.46%E -0.959%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 20:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -6.31%E -4.18%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -2.84%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 05:40
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 00:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 22:54
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 14:50
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 15:00
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -1.34%E -0.845%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -3.60%E -1.42%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 00:20
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.60%E -1.42%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 14:50
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.60%E -1.42%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 21:00
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -0.723%E -0.452%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 00:39
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -0.723%E -0.452%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -1.34%E -0.845%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-03 00:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -1.34%E -0.845%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-03 00:15
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.69%E -3.74%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 14:50
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.36%E -1.73%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:49
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -1.34%E -0.845%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-03 00:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 15:45
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 23:00
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.83%E -2.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 14:44
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 00:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 21:00
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 21:00
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 21:00
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 17:40
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 14:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.69%E -3.74%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 14:54
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 22:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 20:50
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.88%E -2.37%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 14:45
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.88%E -2.37%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 14:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -1.96%E -1.24%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -6.64%E -2.70%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 23:04
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.34%E -0.845%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 23:10
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.58%E -1.65%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 00:35
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 00:35
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.83%E -2.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 22:55
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 00:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 00:25
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 00:39
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-05-03 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-05-03 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-05-03 00:05
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-05-03 00:40
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-02 23:01
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-05-03 00:40
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-05-03 00:35
BetOpenly1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%2.2%2026-05-03 00:35
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%3.2%2026-05-03 00:40