L’École des cotes

San Diego Padres v Chicago White Sox

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 00:41 UTC

Score final : San Diego Padres 0–4 Chicago White Sox

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prévision 62.05%1.61cote équitable
EV -0.723%
Avantage -0.452%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.64%62.11%62.13%64.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.531.531.6067.57%65.44%65.36%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago White Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.95%2.63cote équitable
EV +2.47%
Avantage +0.915%
Kelly +1.45%
Croissance +0.036%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.71%37.89%37.87%39.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.552.532.7040.82%39.27%39.53%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +2.47%E +0.915%K +1.45%G +0.036%3.7%2026-05-03 00:40
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.4%2026-05-03 00:40
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.4%2026-05-03 00:40
Bally Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-03 00:40
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.17%E -5.52%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%5.3%2026-05-03 00:40
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.17%E -5.52%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%5.3%2026-05-03 00:39
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.17%E -5.52%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%5.3%2026-05-03 00:40
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.17%E -5.52%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.572%E +0.216%K +0.347%G +0.002%5.3%2026-05-03 00:40
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV +0.192%E +0.073%K +0.117%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 05:45
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -7.55%E -5.07%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -1.33%E -0.510%K -0.829%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 23:10
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -5.69%E -3.74%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -2.46%E -0.959%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 20:50
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -6.31%E -4.18%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -2.84%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 05:40
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 18:45
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 00:40
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 22:54
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 14:50
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 14:00
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 14:00
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 14:00
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 15:00
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -1.34%E -0.845%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -3.60%E -1.42%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 00:20
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.60%E -1.42%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 14:50
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.60%E -1.42%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 21:00
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -0.723%E -0.452%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 00:39
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -0.723%E -0.452%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -1.34%E -0.845%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-03 00:15
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -1.34%E -0.845%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-03 00:15
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.69%E -3.74%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 14:50
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.36%E -1.73%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:49
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -1.34%E -0.845%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-03 00:20
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 15:45
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 23:00
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.83%E -2.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 14:44
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 00:20
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 21:00
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 21:00
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 21:00
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 17:40
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 14:54
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.69%E -3.74%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 14:54
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 22:25
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.12%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 20:50
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.88%E -2.37%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 14:45
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.88%E -2.37%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 14:45
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -1.96%E -1.24%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -6.64%E -2.70%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 23:04
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.34%E -0.845%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 23:10
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.58%E -1.65%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 00:35
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 00:35
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.83%E -2.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 22:55
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 00:40
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.07%E -3.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 00:25
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.93%E -4.62%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.02%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 00:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-05-03 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-05-03 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-05-03 00:05
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-05-03 00:40
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-02 23:01
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-05-03 00:40
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-05-03 00:35
BetOpenly1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%2.2%2026-05-03 00:35
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%3.2%2026-05-03 00:40