Language:English
San Diego Padres v Chicago White Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego Padres (Local)
Prediction 59.94%1.67fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.661%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.52%60.04%60.10%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.591.591.6566.67%62.79%62.89%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago White Sox (Visit)
Prediction 40.06%2.50fair odd
EV +2.14%
Edge +0.840%
Kelly +1.38%
Growth +0.030%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%39.96%39.90%41.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.392.402.5543.48%41.86%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 59.94%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 40.06%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +2.14%E +0.840%K +1.38%G +0.030% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -4.09%E -2.56%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -0.262%E -0.105%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.69%E -2.95%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.86%E -0.761%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.69%E -1.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-03 20:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.69%E -2.95%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 16:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.09%E -0.661%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -3.07%E -1.27%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-03 19:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.09%E -2.56%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.07%E -1.27%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-03 19:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.09%E -0.661%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -3.47%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-03 20:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -5.29%E -3.35%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -3.47%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.09%E -0.661%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.09%E -0.661%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 19:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.09%E -0.661%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 19:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.29%E -1.40%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-03 20:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.89%E -1.78%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-03 20:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-03 19:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.09%E -2.56%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 19:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.69%E -2.95%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 19:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.69%E -2.95%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 19:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.29%E -3.35%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 19:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.29%E -3.35%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 19:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 19:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 19:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 20:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 20:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 20:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 20:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 20:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 20:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 20:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 20:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 20:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 20:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 20:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 20:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 20:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 19:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 19:48 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -5.07%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 19:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -5.07%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 19:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.89%E -1.78%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.47%E -2.32%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 19:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.29%E -1.40%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-03 19:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.89%E -1.78%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.89%E -1.78%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 19:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.89%E -1.78%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 19:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 18:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 20:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.09%E -2.56%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 20:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.29%E -3.35%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 19:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.09%E -2.56%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.27%E -2.68%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 20:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.67%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 19:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.67%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 19:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.67%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.29%E -1.40%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 20:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 17:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.86% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 40.14% | 0.0% | 2026-05-03 19:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-05-03 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-05-03 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-05-03 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-05-03 19:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 20:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.47% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.53% | 0.7% | 2026-05-03 20:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |