默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

San Diego Padres v Chicago White Sox

开赛时间: 2026-05-03 20:11 UTC

最终结果: San Diego Padres 4–3 Chicago White Sox

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

59 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

San Diego Padres (主队)

预测 59.94%1.67公平赔率
EV -1.09%
优势 -0.661%
Kelly -1.68%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.65

博彩公司预测分布
58.52%60.04%60.10%62.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.591.591.6566.67%62.79%62.89%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chicago White Sox (客队)

预测 40.06%2.50公平赔率
EV +2.14%
优势 +0.840%
Kelly +1.38%
增长率 +0.030%

假设最高赔率为 2.55

博彩公司预测分布
37.04%39.96%39.90%41.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.392.402.5543.48%41.86%41.67%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:San Diego Padres (主队):59.94%;Chicago White Sox (客队):40.06%。 对于“Chicago White Sox (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.50。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.55,对应+2.14%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +2.14%E +0.840%K +1.38%G +0.030%5.9%2026-05-03 19:40
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -4.09%E -2.56%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -0.262%E -0.105%K -0.176%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-03 17:20
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.69%E -2.95%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.86%E -0.761%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 16:55
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.69%E -1.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 20:00
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.69%E -2.95%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 16:54
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.09%E -0.661%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -3.07%E -1.27%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-03 19:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.09%E -2.56%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.07%E -1.27%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-03 19:25
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.09%E -0.661%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -3.47%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 20:00
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -5.29%E -3.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -3.47%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.09%E -0.661%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.09%E -0.661%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 19:00
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.09%E -0.661%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 19:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.29%E -1.40%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 20:05
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.89%E -1.78%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 20:05
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-03 19:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.09%E -2.56%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 19:25
Betway🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.69%E -2.95%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 19:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.69%E -2.95%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 19:25
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.29%E -3.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 19:10
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.29%E -3.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 19:10
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 20:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 20:05
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 20:01
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 19:55
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 19:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -5.07%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 19:30
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -5.07%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 19:30
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.89%E -1.78%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.47%E -2.32%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 19:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.29%E -1.40%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 19:15
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.89%E -1.78%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.89%E -1.78%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 19:30
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.89%E -1.78%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 19:30
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 18:59
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 20:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.09%E -2.56%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.29%E -3.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 19:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.09%E -2.56%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.27%E -2.68%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 20:00
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.67%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 19:15
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.67%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 19:29
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.67%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 19:30
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.29%E -1.40%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 20:05
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 17:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.86%2.49I 40.16%NM 40.14%0.0%2026-05-03 19:54
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-03 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-03 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-03 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-03 19:30
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-03 20:05
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.47%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.53%0.7%2026-05-03 20:05
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-03 17:00
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-05-03 19:40