A Escola das Odds

San Diego Padres v Chicago White Sox

Início: 2026-05-03 20:11 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 4–3 Chicago White Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

San Diego Padres (Local)

Previsão 59.94%1.67odd justa
EV -1.09%
Vantagem -0.661%
Kelly -1.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.52%60.04%60.10%62.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.591.591.6566.67%62.79%62.89%60.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 40.06%2.50odd justa
EV +2.14%
Vantagem +0.840%
Kelly +1.38%
Crescimento +0.030%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.04%39.96%39.90%41.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.392.402.5543.48%41.86%41.67%39.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +2.14%E +0.840%K +1.38%G +0.030%5.9%2026-05-03 19:40
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -4.09%E -2.56%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -0.262%E -0.105%K -0.176%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-03 17:20
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.69%E -2.95%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.86%E -0.761%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 16:55
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.69%E -1.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 20:00
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.69%E -2.95%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 16:54
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.09%E -0.661%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -3.07%E -1.27%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-03 19:00
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.09%E -2.56%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.07%E -1.27%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-03 19:25
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.09%E -0.661%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -3.47%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 20:00
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -5.29%E -3.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -3.47%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 19:25
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.09%E -0.661%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 19:00
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.09%E -0.661%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 19:00
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.09%E -0.661%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 19:50
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.29%E -1.40%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 20:05
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.89%E -1.78%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 20:05
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-03 19:25
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.09%E -2.56%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 19:25
Betway1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.69%E -2.95%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 19:24
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.69%E -2.95%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 19:25
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.29%E -3.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 19:10
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.29%E -3.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 19:10
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 19:10
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 17:10
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 19:10
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 19:10
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 20:05
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 20:05
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 20:01
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 19:55
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 19:48
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -5.07%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 19:30
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -5.07%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 19:30
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.89%E -1.78%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.47%E -2.32%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 19:15
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.29%E -1.40%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 19:15
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.89%E -1.78%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.89%E -1.78%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 19:30
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.89%E -1.78%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 19:30
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 18:59
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 20:00
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.09%E -2.56%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 20:05
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.29%E -3.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 19:25
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 18:40
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.09%E -2.56%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.27%E -2.68%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 20:00
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.67%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 19:15
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.67%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 19:29
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.67%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 19:30
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.29%E -1.40%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 20:05
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 17:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.86%2.49I 40.16%NM 40.14%0.0%2026-05-03 19:54
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-03 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-03 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-03 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-03 19:30
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-03 20:05
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.47%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.53%0.7%2026-05-03 20:05
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-03 17:00
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-05-03 19:40