مدرسة الاحتمالات

San Diego Padres v Chicago White Sox

البداية: 2026-05-03 20:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: San Diego Padres 4–3 Chicago White Sox

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

San Diego Padres (المضيف)

التنبؤ 59.94%1.67السعر العادل
EV -1.09%
الأفضلية -0.661%
Kelly -1.68%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.52%60.04%60.10%62.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.591.591.6566.67%62.79%62.89%60.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chicago White Sox (الضيف)

التنبؤ 40.06%2.50السعر العادل
EV +2.14%
الأفضلية +0.840%
Kelly +1.38%
النمو +0.030%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.04%39.96%39.90%41.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.392.402.5543.48%41.86%41.67%39.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +2.14%E +0.840%K +1.38%G +0.030%5.9%2026-05-03 19:40
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -4.09%E -2.56%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -0.262%E -0.105%K -0.176%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-03 17:20
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.69%E -2.95%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.86%E -0.761%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 16:55
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.69%E -1.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 20:00
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.69%E -2.95%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 16:54
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.09%E -0.661%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -3.07%E -1.27%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-03 19:00
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.09%E -2.56%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.07%E -1.27%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-03 19:25
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.09%E -0.661%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -3.47%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 20:00
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -5.29%E -3.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -3.47%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 19:25
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.09%E -0.661%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 19:00
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.09%E -0.661%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 19:00
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.09%E -0.661%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 19:50
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.29%E -1.40%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 20:05
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.89%E -1.78%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 20:05
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-03 19:25
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.09%E -2.56%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 19:25
Betway1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.69%E -2.95%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 19:24
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.69%E -2.95%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 19:25
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.29%E -3.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 19:10
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.29%E -3.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 19:10
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 19:10
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 17:10
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 19:10
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 19:10
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 20:05
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 20:05
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 20:05
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 20:01
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 19:55
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 19:48
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -5.07%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 19:30
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -5.07%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 19:30
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.89%E -1.78%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.47%E -2.32%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 19:15
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.29%E -1.40%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 19:15
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.89%E -1.78%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.89%E -1.78%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 19:30
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.89%E -1.78%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 19:30
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 18:59
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 20:00
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.09%E -2.56%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 20:05
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.29%E -3.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 19:25
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 18:40
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.09%E -2.56%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.27%E -2.68%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 20:00
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.67%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 19:15
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.67%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 19:29
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.49%E -2.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.67%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 19:30
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.29%E -1.40%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 20:05
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.87%E -3.42%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 17:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (9)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.86%2.49I 40.16%NM 40.14%0.0%2026-05-03 19:54
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-03 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-03 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-03 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-03 19:30
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-03 20:05
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.47%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.53%0.7%2026-05-03 20:05
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-03 17:00
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-05-03 19:40