Language:English
Pittsburgh Pirates v Miami Marlins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Prediction 56.42%1.77fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.719%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.56%56.46%56.33%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.681.7561.73%59.49%59.52%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visit)
Prediction 43.58%2.29fair odd
EV +0.226%
Edge +0.098%
Kelly +0.174%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%43.54%43.67%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.212.202.3047.62%45.22%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 56.42%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 43.58%. For Miami Marlins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.226%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.226%E +0.098%K +0.174%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-12 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.226%E +0.098%K +0.174%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-12 22:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.226%E +0.098%K +0.174%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 19:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -2.95%E -1.72%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -0.210%E -0.092%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-06-12 22:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.210%E -0.092%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-12 05:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.34%E -3.82%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.646%E -0.283%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.34%E -3.82%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.646%E -0.283%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-12 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.95%E -1.72%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.52%E -0.671%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.95%E -1.72%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.52%E -0.671%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.52%E -0.671%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-12 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-12 19:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 22:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.47%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-12 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.47%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.47%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.47%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-12 22:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.26%E -0.719%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-12 22:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.82%E -1.05%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-12 22:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -8.03%E -4.93%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.26%E -1.47%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-12 22:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.26%E -1.47%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-12 22:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.39%E -1.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-12 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-12 12:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-12 22:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-12 22:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-12 10:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-12 13:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-12 13:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-12 13:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-12 22:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-12 22:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-12 22:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-12 22:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 22:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 06:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 22:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-12 10:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-12 20:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -4.57%E -2.09%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-12 21:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.57%E -2.09%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-12 22:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.57%E -2.09%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 19:58 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.00%E -2.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.00%E -2.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.00%E -2.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-12 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.00%E -2.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-12 17:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.44%E -2.51%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-12 22:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 21:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-12 22:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-12 22:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-12 11:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -8.05%E -3.82%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-12 22:18 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-12 22:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-06-12 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-06-12 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-06-12 22:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-06-12 22:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 2.0% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 2.4% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88% | 3.6% | 2026-06-12 22:30 |