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Pittsburgh Pirates v Miami Marlins
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Predicción 56.42%1.77momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.719%
Kelly -1.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.56%56.46%56.33%58.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.681.681.7561.73%59.49%59.52%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Miami Marlins (Visitante)
Predicción 43.58%2.29momio equitativo
EV +0.226%
Ventaja +0.098%
Kelly +0.174%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%43.54%43.67%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.212.202.3047.62%45.22%45.45%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 56.42%; Miami Marlins (Visitante): 43.58%. Para Miami Marlins (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.29. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.226%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.226%E +0.098%K +0.174%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-12 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.226%E +0.098%K +0.174%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-12 22:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.226%E +0.098%K +0.174%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 19:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -2.95%E -1.72%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -0.210%E -0.092%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-06-12 22:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.210%E -0.092%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-12 05:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.34%E -3.82%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.646%E -0.283%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.34%E -3.82%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.646%E -0.283%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-12 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.95%E -1.72%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.52%E -0.671%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.95%E -1.72%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.52%E -0.671%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.52%E -0.671%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-12 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-12 19:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 22:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.47%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-12 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.47%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.47%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.47%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-12 22:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.26%E -0.719%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-12 22:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.82%E -1.05%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-12 22:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -8.03%E -4.93%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.26%E -1.47%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-12 22:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.26%E -1.47%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-12 22:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.39%E -1.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-12 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-12 12:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-12 22:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-12 22:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-12 10:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-12 13:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-12 13:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-12 13:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-12 22:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-12 22:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-12 22:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-12 22:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 22:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 06:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 22:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-12 10:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-12 20:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -4.57%E -2.09%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-12 21:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.57%E -2.09%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-12 22:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.57%E -2.09%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 19:58 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.00%E -2.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.00%E -2.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.00%E -2.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-12 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.00%E -2.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-12 17:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.44%E -2.51%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-12 22:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 21:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-12 22:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-12 22:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-12 11:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -8.05%E -3.82%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-12 22:18 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-12 22:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-06-12 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-06-12 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-06-12 22:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-06-12 22:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 2.0% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 2.4% | 2026-06-12 22:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88% | 3.6% | 2026-06-12 22:30 |