مدرسة الاحتمالات

Pittsburgh Pirates v Miami Marlins

البداية: 2026-06-12 22:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Pittsburgh Pirates 3–8 Miami Marlins

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.42%1.77السعر العادل
EV -1.26%
الأفضلية -0.719%
Kelly -1.68%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.56%56.46%56.33%58.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.681.681.7561.73%59.49%59.52%57.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Miami Marlins (الضيف)

التنبؤ 43.58%2.29السعر العادل
EV +0.226%
الأفضلية +0.098%
Kelly +0.174%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.33%43.54%43.67%44.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.212.202.3047.62%45.22%45.45%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.226%E +0.098%K +0.174%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-12 18:59
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.226%E +0.098%K +0.174%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-12 22:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.226%E +0.098%K +0.174%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 19:40
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -2.95%E -1.72%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -0.210%E -0.092%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-12 22:39
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.210%E -0.092%K -0.163%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-12 05:49
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.34%E -3.82%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.646%E -0.283%K -0.505%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 21:50
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.34%E -3.82%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.646%E -0.283%K -0.505%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 22:00
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.95%E -1.72%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.52%E -0.671%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-12 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.95%E -1.72%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.52%E -0.671%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-12 22:40
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.52%E -0.671%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-12 16:10
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 19:39
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:50
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:50
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:50
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 22:00
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:50
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:50
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.47%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.47%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 21:50
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.47%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 21:50
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.47%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 22:00
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.26%E -0.719%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-12 22:39
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.82%E -1.05%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-12 22:09
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -8.03%E -4.93%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-12 21:50
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.26%E -1.47%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-12 22:00
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.26%E -1.47%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-12 22:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.39%E -1.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-12 22:00
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-12 12:09
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-12 22:19
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-12 22:30
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 10:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 13:29
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 13:29
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 13:40
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 22:39
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 22:00
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 22:30
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 22:30
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 22:30
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 06:50
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 22:29
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 22:30
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-12 10:00
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-12 20:20
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -4.57%E -2.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 21:59
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.57%E -2.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-12 22:09
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.57%E -2.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 19:58
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.00%E -2.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 22:40
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.00%E -2.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 22:40
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.00%E -2.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 17:40
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.00%E -2.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 17:40
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.44%E -2.51%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 22:39
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 21:30
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 22:40
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 22:40
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-12 22:40
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-12 22:30
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-12 22:10
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 11:29
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -8.05%E -3.82%K -7.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-12 22:18
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-12 22:40
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 22:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-06-12 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-06-12 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-06-12 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-06-12 22:20
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-06-12 22:40
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-12 22:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-12 22:00
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-06-12 22:40
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%2.4%2026-06-12 22:40
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%3.6%2026-06-12 22:30