Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Miami Marlins

Początek: 2026-06-12 22:41 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Pittsburgh Pirates 3–8 Miami Marlins

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 56.42%1.77kurs godziwy
EV -1.26%
Przewaga -0.719%
Kelly -1.68%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
55.56%56.46%56.33%58.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.621.681.681.7561.73%59.49%59.52%57.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Miami Marlins (Goście)

Prognoza 43.58%2.29kurs godziwy
EV +0.226%
Przewaga +0.098%
Kelly +0.174%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
41.33%43.54%43.67%44.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.102.212.202.3047.62%45.22%45.45%43.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Pittsburgh Pirates (Gospodarze): 56.42%; Miami Marlins (Goście): 43.58%. Dla wyniku Miami Marlins (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.29. 3 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.30, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.226%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.226%E +0.098%K +0.174%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-12 18:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.226%E +0.098%K +0.174%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-12 22:00
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.226%E +0.098%K +0.174%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 19:40
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -2.95%E -1.72%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -0.210%E -0.092%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-12 22:39
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.210%E -0.092%K -0.163%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-12 05:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.34%E -3.82%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.646%E -0.283%K -0.505%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 21:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.34%E -3.82%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.646%E -0.283%K -0.505%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.95%E -1.72%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.52%E -0.671%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-12 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.95%E -1.72%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.52%E -0.671%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-12 22:40
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.52%E -0.671%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-12 16:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 19:39
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:50
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:50
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:50
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.47%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.47%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 21:50
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.47%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 21:50
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.47%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 22:00
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.26%E -0.719%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-12 22:39
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.82%E -1.05%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-12 22:09
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -8.03%E -4.93%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-12 21:50
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.26%E -1.47%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-12 22:00
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.26%E -1.47%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-12 22:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.39%E -1.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-12 22:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-12 12:09
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-12 22:19
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-12 22:30
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 10:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 13:29
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 13:29
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 13:40
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 22:39
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 22:00
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 22:30
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 22:30
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 22:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 06:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 22:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 22:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-12 10:00
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-12 20:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -4.57%E -2.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 21:59
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.57%E -2.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-12 22:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.57%E -2.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 19:58
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.00%E -2.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 22:40
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.00%E -2.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 22:40
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.00%E -2.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 17:40
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.00%E -2.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 17:40
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.44%E -2.51%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 22:39
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 21:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 22:40
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 22:40
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-12 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-12 22:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-12 22:10
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 11:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -8.05%E -3.82%K -7.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-12 22:18
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-12 22:40
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 22:29
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-06-12 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-06-12 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-06-12 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-06-12 22:20
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-06-12 22:40
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-12 22:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-12 22:00
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-06-12 22:40
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%2.4%2026-06-12 22:40
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%3.6%2026-06-12 22:30