La scuola delle quote

Pittsburgh Pirates v Miami Marlins

Inizio: 2026-06-12 22:41 UTC

Finale: Pittsburgh Pirates 3–8 Miami Marlins

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Casa)

Previsione 56.42%1.77quota equa
EV -1.26%
Vantaggio -0.719%
Kelly -1.68%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.56%56.46%56.33%58.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.681.681.7561.73%59.49%59.52%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miami Marlins (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.58%2.29quota equa
EV +0.226%
Vantaggio +0.098%
Kelly +0.174%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.33%43.54%43.67%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.212.202.3047.62%45.22%45.45%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.226%E +0.098%K +0.174%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-12 18:59
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.226%E +0.098%K +0.174%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-12 22:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.226%E +0.098%K +0.174%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 19:40
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -2.95%E -1.72%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -0.210%E -0.092%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-12 22:39
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.210%E -0.092%K -0.163%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-12 05:49
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.34%E -3.82%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.646%E -0.283%K -0.505%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 21:50
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.34%E -3.82%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.646%E -0.283%K -0.505%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 22:00
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.95%E -1.72%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.52%E -0.671%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-12 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.95%E -1.72%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.52%E -0.671%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-12 22:40
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.52%E -0.671%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-12 16:10
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 19:39
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:50
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:50
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:50
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 22:00
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:50
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:50
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.47%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.47%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 21:50
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.47%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 21:50
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.47%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 22:00
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.26%E -0.719%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-12 22:39
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.82%E -1.05%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-12 22:09
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -8.03%E -4.93%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-12 21:50
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.26%E -1.47%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-12 22:00
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.26%E -1.47%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-12 22:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.39%E -1.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-12 22:00
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-12 12:09
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-12 22:19
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-12 22:30
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 10:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 13:29
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 13:29
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 13:40
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 22:39
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 22:00
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 22:30
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 22:30
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 22:30
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 06:50
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 22:29
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 22:30
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-12 10:00
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-12 20:20
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -4.57%E -2.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 21:59
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.57%E -2.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-12 22:09
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.57%E -2.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 19:58
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.00%E -2.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 22:40
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.00%E -2.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 22:40
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.00%E -2.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 17:40
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.00%E -2.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 17:40
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.52%E -2.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.44%E -2.51%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 22:39
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 21:30
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 22:40
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 22:40
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-12 22:40
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-12 22:30
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-12 22:10
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.31%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 11:29
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -8.05%E -3.82%K -7.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-12 22:18
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-12 22:40
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 22:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-06-12 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-06-12 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-06-12 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-06-12 22:20
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-06-12 22:40
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-12 22:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-12 22:00
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-06-12 22:40
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%2.4%2026-06-12 22:40
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%3.6%2026-06-12 22:30