The School of Odds

Pittsburgh Pirates v Chicago Cubs

2026-07-26 17:36 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prediction 53.17%1.88fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.885%
Kelly -1.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.60%53.25%53.25%54.68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.741.791.791.8557.47%55.82%55.87%54.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Chicago Cubs (Visit)

Prediction 46.83%2.14fair odd
EV +1.16%
Edge +0.535%
Kelly +0.996%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.32%46.75%46.75%47.40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.962.042.042.1651.02%49.00%49.02%46.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV +1.16%E +0.535%K +0.996%G +0.012%2.2%2026-07-26 00:04
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV +0.687%E +0.319%K +0.597%G +0.004%2.4%2026-07-26 00:05
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV +0.219%E +0.102%K +0.192%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-26 00:04
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV +0.219%E +0.102%K +0.192%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-26 00:04
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.89%E -3.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.65%E -0.788%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 18:30
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.64%E -0.885%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.12%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-25 23:09
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.70%E -1.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.12%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-25 22:20
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.06%E -1.48%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 00:04
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.06%E -1.48%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 00:05
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.06%E -1.48%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 00:04
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.06%E -1.48%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 00:04
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.76%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 20:20
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 23:55
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 20:14
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 20:15
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 22:44
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 21:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 21:25
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 21:25
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 21:30
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 00:09
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 00:04
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 00:04
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 00:04
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 00:05
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 00:04
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.89%E -3.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 19:15
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.23%E -1.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 18:30
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 21:15
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 00:04
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 00:04
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 00:05
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -3.76%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.93%E -2.43%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 00:44
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.23%E -1.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 18:30
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 18:40
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 20:20
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 21:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 21:25
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 23:39
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 21:45
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 21:45
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 22:59
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 00:04
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -5.87%E -2.92%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 20:15
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:30
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:30
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:30
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:30
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:35
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 20:15
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.89%E -3.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 20:15
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 20:18
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 20:14
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 23:39
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -7.49%E -4.30%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -8.21%E -4.19%K -8.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 20:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-07-26 00:55
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-25 22:20
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-25 22:10
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%2.7%2026-07-26 01:00
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%3.3%2026-07-25 22:30
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%10.0%2026-07-25 20:15