Language:English
Pittsburgh Pirates v Chicago Cubs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Prediction 56.05%1.78fair odd
EV +0.889%
Edge +0.494%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.85%55.94%56.04%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.721.711.8061.73%58.07%58.48%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visit)
Prediction 43.95%2.28fair odd
EV -0.232%
Edge -0.102%
Kelly -0.183%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%44.06%43.96%46.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.152.152.2749.50%46.59%46.51%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 56.05%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 43.95%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.889%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV +0.889%E +0.494%K +1.11%G +0.010% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-26 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV +0.889%E +0.494%K +1.11%G +0.010% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV +0.889%E +0.494%K +1.11%G +0.010% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -0.232%E -0.130%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -0.232%E -0.130%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.793%E -0.448%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -9.02%E -4.36%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.793%E -0.448%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -9.02%E -4.36%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.793%E -0.448%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -9.02%E -4.36%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.793%E -0.448%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -9.02%E -4.36%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.793%E -0.448%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -9.02%E -4.36%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.793%E -0.448%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -9.02%E -4.36%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -1.35%E -0.769%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -9.46%E -4.59%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -1.35%E -0.769%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -9.46%E -4.59%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -1.35%E -0.769%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -9.46%E -4.59%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-26 17:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.47%E -1.42%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -0.671%E -0.297%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-07-26 17:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.47%E -1.42%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.11%E -0.494%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-26 17:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.47%E -1.42%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-26 17:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -0.232%E -0.102%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.55%E -0.692%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.55%E -0.692%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-26 17:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.19%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-26 08:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.82%E -3.22%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.82%E -3.22%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -11.22%E -5.55%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -0.671%E -0.297%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-26 17:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -1.55%E -0.692%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-26 17:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.19%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.19%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 17:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-26 17:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-26 17:23 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-26 17:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -3.75%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.63%E -2.13%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 17:31 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.84%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 17:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.84%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 17:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.96%E -4.19%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-26 17:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.52%E -4.56%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-26 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 17:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79% | -0.1% | 2026-07-26 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-07-26 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-07-26 17:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-07-26 17:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.7% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 2.4% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
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