La escuela de los momios

Pittsburgh Pirates v Chicago Cubs

2026-07-26 17:36 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Predicción 53.15%1.88momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -0.900%
Kelly -1.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.60%53.22%53.25%54.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.741.791.791.8557.47%55.82%55.87%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Predicción 46.85%2.13momio equitativo
EV +1.19%
Ventaja +0.550%
Kelly +1.02%
Crecimiento +0.012%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.32%46.78%46.75%47.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.962.042.042.1651.02%49.02%49.02%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -4.85%E -2.71%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV +1.19%E +0.550%K +1.02%G +0.012%2.2%2026-07-26 00:04
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -4.85%E -2.71%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV +0.719%E +0.334%K +0.625%G +0.004%2.4%2026-07-26 00:05
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -4.85%E -2.71%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV +0.250%E +0.117%K +0.219%G +0.001%2.6%2026-07-26 00:04
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -4.85%E -2.71%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV +0.250%E +0.117%K +0.219%G +0.001%2.6%2026-07-26 00:04
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.92%E -3.34%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.62%E -0.773%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 18:30
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.66%E -0.900%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.09%E -1.00%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-25 23:09
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.09%E -1.00%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-25 22:20
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.85%E -2.71%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.03%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 00:04
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.85%E -2.71%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.03%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 00:05
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.85%E -2.71%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.03%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 00:04
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.85%E -2.71%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.03%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 00:04
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.79%E -2.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.97%E -1.93%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 20:20
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.32%E -2.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.97%E -1.93%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 23:55
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.32%E -2.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.97%E -1.93%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 20:14
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.32%E -2.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.97%E -1.93%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 20:15
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.32%E -2.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.97%E -1.93%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 22:44
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.32%E -2.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.97%E -1.93%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 21:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.32%E -2.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.97%E -1.93%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 21:25
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.32%E -2.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.97%E -1.93%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 21:25
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.32%E -2.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.97%E -1.93%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 21:30
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.32%E -2.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.97%E -1.93%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 00:09
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.32%E -2.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.97%E -1.93%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 01:49
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.85%E -2.71%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.97%E -1.93%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 00:04
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.85%E -2.71%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.97%E -1.93%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.85%E -2.71%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.97%E -1.93%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 00:04
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.85%E -2.71%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.97%E -1.93%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 00:04
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.85%E -2.71%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.97%E -1.93%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 00:05
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.85%E -2.71%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.97%E -1.93%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 00:04
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.92%E -3.34%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.97%E -1.93%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 19:15
Dabble (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.92%E -3.34%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.97%E -1.93%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 02:04
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.26%E -1.79%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.43%E -2.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 18:30
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.85%E -2.71%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.43%E -2.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 21:15
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.39%E -3.03%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.43%E -2.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 00:04
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.39%E -3.03%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.43%E -2.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 00:04
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.39%E -3.03%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.43%E -2.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 00:05
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -3.79%E -2.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.90%E -2.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 00:44
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.26%E -1.79%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 18:30
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.32%E -2.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 18:40
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.32%E -2.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 20:20
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.32%E -2.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 21:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.32%E -2.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 21:25
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.32%E -2.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 23:39
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.32%E -2.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 01:45
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.85%E -2.71%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 21:45
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.85%E -2.71%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 21:45
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.85%E -2.71%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 22:59
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 00:04
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.39%E -3.03%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -5.84%E -2.91%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 20:15
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.32%E -2.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:30
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.32%E -2.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:30
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.32%E -2.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:30
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.32%E -2.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.32%E -2.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:30
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.32%E -2.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:35
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.32%E -2.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:50
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.32%E -2.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 23:39
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.39%E -3.03%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 20:15
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.92%E -3.34%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 20:15
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 20:18
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 20:14
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.31%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.71%E -3.92%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 23:39
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -7.51%E -4.32%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -8.18%E -4.17%K -8.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 20:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-07-26 00:55
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-25 22:20
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-07-26 01:50
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%2.7%2026-07-26 02:05
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%3.3%2026-07-25 22:30
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%10.0%2026-07-25 20:15