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Pittsburgh Pirates v Chicago Cubs
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Predicción 56.05%1.78momio equitativo
EV +0.889%
Ventaja +0.494%
Kelly +1.11%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.85%55.94%56.04%57.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.721.711.8061.73%58.07%58.48%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chicago Cubs (Visitante)
Predicción 43.95%2.28momio equitativo
EV -0.232%
Ventaja -0.102%
Kelly -0.183%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.41%44.06%43.96%46.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.022.152.152.2749.50%46.59%46.51%44.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 56.05%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 43.95%. Para Pittsburgh Pirates (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.78. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.889%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV +0.889%E +0.494%K +1.11%G +0.010% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-26 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV +0.889%E +0.494%K +1.11%G +0.010% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV +0.889%E +0.494%K +1.11%G +0.010% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -0.232%E -0.130%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -0.232%E -0.130%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.793%E -0.448%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -9.02%E -4.36%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.793%E -0.448%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -9.02%E -4.36%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.793%E -0.448%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -9.02%E -4.36%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.793%E -0.448%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -9.02%E -4.36%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.793%E -0.448%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -9.02%E -4.36%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.793%E -0.448%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -9.02%E -4.36%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -1.35%E -0.769%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -9.46%E -4.59%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -1.35%E -0.769%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -9.46%E -4.59%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -1.35%E -0.769%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -9.46%E -4.59%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-26 17:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.47%E -1.42%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -0.671%E -0.297%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-07-26 17:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.47%E -1.42%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.11%E -0.494%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-26 17:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.47%E -1.42%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-26 17:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -0.232%E -0.102%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.55%E -0.692%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.55%E -0.692%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-26 17:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.19%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-26 08:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.82%E -3.22%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.82%E -3.22%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -11.22%E -5.55%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -0.671%E -0.297%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-26 17:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -1.55%E -0.692%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-26 17:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.19%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.19%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 17:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-26 17:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-26 17:23 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-26 17:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -3.75%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.63%E -2.13%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 17:31 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.84%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 17:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.84%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 17:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.96%E -4.19%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-26 17:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.52%E -4.56%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-26 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 17:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79% | -0.1% | 2026-07-26 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-07-26 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-07-26 17:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-07-26 17:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.7% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 2.4% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |