默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Chicago Cubs

开赛时间: 2026-07-26 17:36 UTC

最终结果: Pittsburgh Pirates 8–7 Chicago Cubs

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Pirates (主队)

预测 56.05%1.78公平赔率
EV +0.889%
优势 +0.494%
Kelly +1.11%
增长率 +0.010%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
53.85%55.94%56.04%57.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.621.721.711.8061.73%58.07%58.48%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chicago Cubs (客队)

预测 43.95%2.28公平赔率
EV -0.232%
优势 -0.102%
Kelly -0.183%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.27

博彩公司预测分布
42.41%44.06%43.96%46.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.022.152.152.2749.50%46.59%46.51%44.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Pittsburgh Pirates (主队):56.05%;Chicago Cubs (客队):43.95%。 对于“Pittsburgh Pirates (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.78。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为1.80,对应+0.889%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV +0.889%E +0.494%K +1.11%G +0.010%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-26 13:40
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV +0.889%E +0.494%K +1.11%G +0.010%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-26 17:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV +0.889%E +0.494%K +1.11%G +0.010%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-26 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -0.232%E -0.130%K -0.298%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -0.232%E -0.130%K -0.298%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 17:30
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.793%E -0.448%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -9.02%E -4.36%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:30
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.793%E -0.448%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -9.02%E -4.36%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.793%E -0.448%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -9.02%E -4.36%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:30
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.793%E -0.448%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -9.02%E -4.36%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:30
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.793%E -0.448%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -9.02%E -4.36%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.793%E -0.448%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -9.02%E -4.36%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:30
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -1.35%E -0.769%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -9.46%E -4.59%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -1.35%E -0.769%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -9.46%E -4.59%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 17:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -1.35%E -0.769%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -9.46%E -4.59%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 17:30
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-26 17:05
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 17:20
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.47%E -1.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -0.671%E -0.297%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-26 17:25
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.47%E -1.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.11%E -0.494%K -0.889%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-26 17:15
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.47%E -1.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 17:15
GTbets🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -0.232%E -0.102%K -0.183%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-26 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.55%E -0.692%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.55%E -0.692%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-26 17:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.19%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-26 17:35
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 08:00
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 17:05
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.82%E -3.22%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 17:05
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.82%E -3.22%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 17:05
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -11.22%E -5.55%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 17:30
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -0.671%E -0.297%K -0.533%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-26 17:15
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -1.55%E -0.692%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-26 17:15
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 17:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 17:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 17:05
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 17:05
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.19%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-26 17:05
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.19%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-26 17:05
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 17:15
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 17:20
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 17:20
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 17:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 17:05
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 17:05
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 17:24
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 17:23
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 17:35
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 17:15
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 17:30
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:30
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -3.75%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.63%E -2.13%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 17:31
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.84%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 17:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.84%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 17:20
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 17:05
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.96%E -4.19%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 17:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.52%E -4.56%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 17:10
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 17:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79%-0.1%2026-07-26 17:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-26 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-26 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-26 17:25
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32%0.8%2026-07-26 17:35
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-26 17:15
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-26 17:30
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-07-26 17:35
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-07-26 17:30
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%2.4%2026-07-26 17:35