StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Chicago Cubs

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-26 17:36 UTC

Endstand: Pittsburgh Pirates 8–7 Chicago Cubs

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Heim)

Prognose 56.05%1.78faire Quote
EV +0.889%
Vorteil +0.494%
Kelly +1.11%
Wachstum +0.010%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
53.85%55.94%56.04%57.59%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.621.721.711.8061.73%58.07%58.48%55.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Auswärts)

Prognose 43.95%2.28faire Quote
EV -0.232%
Vorteil -0.102%
Kelly -0.183%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.27

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
42.41%44.06%43.96%46.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.022.152.152.2749.50%46.59%46.51%44.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Pittsburgh Pirates (Heim): 56.05%; Chicago Cubs (Auswärts): 43.95%. Für Pittsburgh Pirates (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.78. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 1.80 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.889%.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV +0.889%E +0.494%K +1.11%G +0.010%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-26 13:40
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV +0.889%E +0.494%K +1.11%G +0.010%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-26 17:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV +0.889%E +0.494%K +1.11%G +0.010%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-26 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -0.232%E -0.130%K -0.298%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -0.232%E -0.130%K -0.298%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 17:30
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.793%E -0.448%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -9.02%E -4.36%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:30
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.793%E -0.448%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -9.02%E -4.36%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.793%E -0.448%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -9.02%E -4.36%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:30
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.793%E -0.448%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -9.02%E -4.36%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:30
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.793%E -0.448%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -9.02%E -4.36%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.793%E -0.448%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -9.02%E -4.36%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:30
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -1.35%E -0.769%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -9.46%E -4.59%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -1.35%E -0.769%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -9.46%E -4.59%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 17:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -1.35%E -0.769%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -9.46%E -4.59%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 17:30
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-26 17:05
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.58%E -4.13%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 17:20
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.47%E -1.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -0.671%E -0.297%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-26 17:25
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.47%E -1.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.11%E -0.494%K -0.889%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-26 17:15
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.47%E -1.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 17:15
GTbets🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -0.232%E -0.102%K -0.183%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-26 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.55%E -0.692%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.55%E -0.692%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-26 17:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.19%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-26 17:35
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 08:00
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 17:05
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.82%E -3.22%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 17:05
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.82%E -3.22%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 17:05
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -11.22%E -5.55%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 17:30
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -0.671%E -0.297%K -0.533%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-26 17:15
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -1.55%E -0.692%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-26 17:15
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 17:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 17:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 17:05
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 17:05
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.19%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-26 17:05
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.19%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-26 17:05
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 17:15
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 17:20
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 17:20
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 17:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 17:05
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 17:05
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 17:24
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 17:23
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 17:35
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 17:15
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 17:30
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:30
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -3.75%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.63%E -2.13%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 17:31
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.84%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 17:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.84%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 17:20
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 17:05
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.96%E -4.19%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 17:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.52%E -4.56%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 17:10
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 17:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79%-0.1%2026-07-26 17:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-26 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-26 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-26 17:25
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32%0.8%2026-07-26 17:35
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-26 17:15
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-26 17:30
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-07-26 17:35
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-07-26 17:30
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%2.4%2026-07-26 17:35