L’École des cotes

Pittsburgh Pirates v Chicago Cubs

2026-07-26 17:36 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prévision 53.16%1.88cote équitable
EV -1.65%
Avantage -0.893%
Kelly -1.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.95%53.18%53.25%54.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.741.791.801.8557.47%55.74%55.56%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.84%2.13cote équitable
EV -1.64%
Avantage -0.780%
Kelly -1.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.31%46.82%46.75%48.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.962.042.042.1051.02%49.11%49.02%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.65%E -0.893%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-25 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.65%E -0.893%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 02:54
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.72%E -1.48%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.64%E -0.780%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 02:14
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.72%E -1.48%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 02:20
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.72%E -1.48%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 02:14
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.72%E -1.48%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-25 22:20
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.72%E -1.48%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 02:15
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 18:30
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.39%E -2.67%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 18:30
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -3.78%E -2.09%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.92%E -2.42%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 00:44
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 04:00
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 20:14
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 20:15
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 21:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 21:25
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 21:30
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 00:09
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 01:49
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.39%E -2.67%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 18:40
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.39%E -2.67%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 20:20
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.39%E -2.67%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 21:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.39%E -2.67%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 21:25
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.39%E -2.67%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 23:39
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.39%E -2.67%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 01:45
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:30
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:30
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 03:44
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:30
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:30
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:35
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:50
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 23:39
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.84%E -2.70%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.04%E -1.47%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 03:58
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.84%E -2.70%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.04%E -1.47%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 00:04
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.84%E -2.70%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.04%E -1.47%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 00:05
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.84%E -2.70%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.04%E -1.47%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 00:04
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.84%E -2.70%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.04%E -1.47%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 00:04
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.84%E -2.70%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 00:04
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.84%E -2.70%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.84%E -2.70%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 00:04
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.84%E -2.70%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 00:04
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.84%E -2.70%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 00:05
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.84%E -2.70%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 00:04
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.84%E -2.70%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 21:15
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.84%E -2.70%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.39%E -2.67%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 21:45
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.84%E -2.70%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.39%E -2.67%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 21:45
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.84%E -2.70%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.39%E -2.67%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 22:59
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.37%E -3.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 02:44
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.37%E -3.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 00:04
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.37%E -3.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 00:04
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.37%E -3.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 00:05
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.37%E -3.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -5.85%E -2.91%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 20:15
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.37%E -3.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 20:15
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.90%E -3.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.64%E -0.780%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 18:30
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.90%E -3.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 02:51
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.90%E -3.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 20:15
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.97%E -3.98%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.39%E -2.67%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 00:04
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.97%E -3.98%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 20:18
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.97%E -3.98%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 20:14
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.97%E -3.98%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.73%E -3.92%K -7.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 23:39
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.50%E -4.31%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.64%E -0.780%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 03:35
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -7.50%E -4.31%K -10.13%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -8.20%E -4.18%K -8.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 20:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-07-26 03:14
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-07-26 02:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-07-26 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-07-26 03:45
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-25 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-07-26 03:45
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-07-26 03:05
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%3.3%2026-07-25 22:30
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%10.0%2026-07-25 20:15