语言:简体中文
Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Philadelphia Phillies (主队)
预测 73.27%1.36公平赔率
EV -1.08%
优势 -0.800%
Kelly -3.09%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.35
博彩公司预测分布
71.40%73.34%73.32%75.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.241.301.301.3580.65%76.90%76.92%74.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
Washington Nationals (客队)
预测 26.73%3.74公平赔率
EV +5.57%
优势 +1.41%
Kelly +1.89%
增长率 +0.105%
假设最高赔率为 3.95
博彩公司预测分布
24.62%26.66%26.68%28.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.583.593.9530.30%27.91%27.82%25.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Philadelphia Phillies (主队)：73.27%；Washington Nationals (客队)：26.73%。 对于“Washington Nationals (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.74。 当时有15家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.95，对应+5.57%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV +5.57%E +1.41%K +1.89%G +0.105% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV +5.57%E +1.41%K +1.89%G +0.105% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +4.23%E +1.09%K +1.46%G +0.062% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.17%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.83%EV +2.09%E +0.548%K +0.743%G +0.016% | 1.4% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.68%E -6.09%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +1.56%E +0.411%K +0.557%G +0.009% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Unibet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Casumo | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Bally Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| betPARX | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV -0.311%E -0.083%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV -0.311%E -0.083%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Caesars | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -1.11%E -0.301%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 22:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.11%E -0.301%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -7.68%E -6.09%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -1.11%E -0.301%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.68%E -6.09%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.45%E -0.671%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.68%E -6.09%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.45%E -0.671%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 22:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| GTbets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 20:42 |
| theScore Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 20:44 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 20:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 22:33 |
| betano_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -9.14%E -7.37%K -38.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.82%EV -1.81%E -1.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 27.18%EV -4.05%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -4.59%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 20:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.51%EV -1.08%E -0.800%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.49%EV -4.85%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| ReBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Fliff | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| BetUS | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.69%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -5.39%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| Bovada | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
| BetAnything | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| TAB | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 21:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:24 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 21:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -8.60%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 22:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 22:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 20:43 |
| LeoVegas | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -9.67%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 20:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| Betsson | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -11.27%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -11.27%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 22:13 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (10)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Novig | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| BetOpenly | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.73% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 26.27% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| ProphetX | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |