Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals

Inizio: 2026-08-04 22:42 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Philadelphia Phillies (Casa)

Previsione 73.27%1.36quota equa
EV -1.08%
Vantaggio -0.800%
Kelly -3.09%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.40%73.34%73.32%75.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.241.301.301.3580.65%76.90%76.92%74.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Washington Nationals (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.73%3.74quota equa
EV +5.57%
Vantaggio +1.41%
Kelly +1.89%
Crescita +0.105%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.62%26.66%26.68%28.60%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.583.593.9530.30%27.91%27.82%25.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Philadelphia Phillies (Casa): 73.27%; Washington Nationals (Trasferta): 26.73%. Per Washington Nationals (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.74. 15 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.95, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +5.57%.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV +5.57%E +1.41%K +1.89%G +0.105%2.8%2026-08-04 22:35
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV +5.57%E +1.41%K +1.89%G +0.105%2.8%2026-08-04 22:34
Unibet (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +4.23%E +1.09%K +1.46%G +0.062%3.8%2026-08-04 22:40
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 74.17%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.83%EV +2.09%E +0.548%K +0.743%G +0.016%1.4%2026-08-04 22:10
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.68%E -6.09%K -29.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +1.56%E +0.411%K +0.557%G +0.009%5.7%2026-08-04 22:40
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 20:45
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 22:34
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 22:35
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:35
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:34
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:34
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:35
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:35
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 22:40
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV -0.311%E -0.083%K -0.114%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV -0.311%E -0.083%K -0.114%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 22:40
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -1.11%E -0.301%K -0.412%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 22:39
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.11%E -0.301%K -0.412%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -7.68%E -6.09%K -29.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -1.11%E -0.301%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 22:39
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.68%E -6.09%K -29.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.45%E -0.671%K -0.924%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 22:40
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.68%E -6.09%K -29.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.45%E -0.671%K -0.924%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 22:39
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 20:45
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-04 22:40
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 20:42
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:44
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:44
Tipico (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:59
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 22:33
betano_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 22:34
Grosvenor1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -9.14%E -7.37%K -38.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 22:34
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 72.82%EV -1.81%E -1.35%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.18%EV -4.05%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 22:40
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -4.59%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:44
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 72.51%EV -1.08%E -0.800%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.49%EV -4.85%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-04 22:04
ReBet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 21:59
MyBookie.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 22:05
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 21:00
Fliff1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 22:40
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 72.69%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -5.39%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 22:14
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:29
BetAnything1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:40
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 21:09
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 22:05
Betr (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 22:25
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:45
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 22:24
Dabble (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 21:54
Coolbet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -8.60%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:24
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 20:45
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 22:25
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 22:24
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 22:25
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 22:25
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 21:59
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 20:43
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 22:40
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -9.67%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:05
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:45
Betsson1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -11.27%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:29
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -11.27%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:30
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 22:13
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-08-04 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-08-04 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-04 22:10
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-04 21:00
Polymarket1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-04 22:10
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-04 22:40
BetOpenly1.34I 74.63%NM 73.73%3.76I 26.60%NM 26.27%1.2%2026-08-04 22:35
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-08-04 22:40
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-08-04 22:20
ProphetX1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-08-04 22:40