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Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Philadelphia Phillies (Хозяева)
Прогноз 73.27%1.36справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.08%
Преимущество -0.800%
Kelly -3.09%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.35
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
71.40%73.34%73.32%75.38%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.241.301.301.3580.65%76.90%76.92%74.07%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Washington Nationals (Гости)
Прогноз 26.73%3.74справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.57%
Преимущество +1.41%
Kelly +1.89%
Рост +0.105%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.95
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.62%26.66%26.68%28.60%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.583.593.9530.30%27.91%27.82%25.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Philadelphia Phillies (Хозяева): 73.27%; Washington Nationals (Гости): 26.73%. Для исхода «Washington Nationals (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.74. 15 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.95, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +5.57%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV +5.57%E +1.41%K +1.89%G +0.105% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV +5.57%E +1.41%K +1.89%G +0.105% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +4.23%E +1.09%K +1.46%G +0.062% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.17%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.83%EV +2.09%E +0.548%K +0.743%G +0.016% | 1.4% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.68%E -6.09%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +1.56%E +0.411%K +0.557%G +0.009% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Unibet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Casumo | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Bally Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| betPARX | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV -0.311%E -0.083%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV -0.311%E -0.083%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Caesars | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -1.11%E -0.301%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 22:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.11%E -0.301%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -7.68%E -6.09%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -1.11%E -0.301%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.68%E -6.09%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.45%E -0.671%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.68%E -6.09%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.45%E -0.671%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 22:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| GTbets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 20:42 |
| theScore Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 20:44 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 20:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 22:33 |
| betano_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -9.14%E -7.37%K -38.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.82%EV -1.81%E -1.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 27.18%EV -4.05%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -4.59%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 20:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.51%EV -1.08%E -0.800%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.49%EV -4.85%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| ReBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Fliff | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| BetUS | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.69%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -5.39%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| Bovada | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
| BetAnything | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| TAB | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 21:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:24 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 21:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -8.60%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 22:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 22:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 20:43 |
| LeoVegas | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -9.67%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 20:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| Betsson | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -11.27%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -11.27%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 22:13 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Novig | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| BetOpenly | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.73% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 26.27% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| ProphetX | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |