StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-04 22:42 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Philadelphia Phillies (Heim)

Prognose 73.27%1.36faire Quote
EV -1.08%
Vorteil -0.800%
Kelly -3.09%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.35

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
71.40%73.34%73.32%75.38%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.241.301.301.3580.65%76.90%76.92%74.07%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Washington Nationals (Auswärts)

Prognose 26.73%3.74faire Quote
EV +5.57%
Vorteil +1.41%
Kelly +1.89%
Wachstum +0.105%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.95

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.62%26.66%26.68%28.60%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.303.583.593.9530.30%27.91%27.82%25.32%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Philadelphia Phillies (Heim): 73.27%; Washington Nationals (Auswärts): 26.73%. Für Washington Nationals (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.74. 15 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.95 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +5.57%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV +5.57%E +1.41%K +1.89%G +0.105%2.8%2026-08-04 22:35
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV +5.57%E +1.41%K +1.89%G +0.105%2.8%2026-08-04 22:34
Unibet (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +4.23%E +1.09%K +1.46%G +0.062%3.8%2026-08-04 22:40
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 74.17%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.83%EV +2.09%E +0.548%K +0.743%G +0.016%1.4%2026-08-04 22:10
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.68%E -6.09%K -29.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +1.56%E +0.411%K +0.557%G +0.009%5.7%2026-08-04 22:40
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 20:45
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 22:34
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 22:35
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:35
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:34
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:34
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:35
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:35
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 22:40
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV -0.311%E -0.083%K -0.114%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV -0.311%E -0.083%K -0.114%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 22:40
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -1.11%E -0.301%K -0.412%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 22:39
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.11%E -0.301%K -0.412%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -7.68%E -6.09%K -29.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -1.11%E -0.301%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 22:39
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.68%E -6.09%K -29.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.45%E -0.671%K -0.924%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 22:40
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.68%E -6.09%K -29.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.45%E -0.671%K -0.924%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 22:39
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 20:45
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-04 22:40
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 20:42
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:44
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:44
Tipico (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:59
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 22:33
betano_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 22:34
Grosvenor1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -9.14%E -7.37%K -38.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 22:34
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 72.82%EV -1.81%E -1.35%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.18%EV -4.05%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 22:40
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -4.59%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:44
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 72.51%EV -1.08%E -0.800%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.49%EV -4.85%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-04 22:04
ReBet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 21:59
MyBookie.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 22:05
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 21:00
Fliff1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 22:40
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 72.69%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -5.39%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 22:14
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:29
BetAnything1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:40
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 21:09
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 22:05
Betr (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 22:25
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:45
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 22:24
Dabble (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 21:54
Coolbet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -8.60%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:24
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 20:45
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 22:25
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 22:24
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 22:25
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 22:25
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 21:59
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 20:43
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 22:40
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -9.67%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:05
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:45
Betsson1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -11.27%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:29
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -11.27%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:30
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 22:13
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-08-04 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-08-04 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-04 22:10
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-04 21:00
Polymarket1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-04 22:10
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-04 22:40
BetOpenly1.34I 74.63%NM 73.73%3.76I 26.60%NM 26.27%1.2%2026-08-04 22:35
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-08-04 22:40
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-08-04 22:20
ProphetX1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-08-04 22:40