Język:Polski
Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Philadelphia Phillies (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 73.27%1.36kurs godziwy
EV -1.08%
Przewaga -0.800%
Kelly -3.09%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.35
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
71.40%73.34%73.32%75.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.241.301.301.3580.65%76.90%76.92%74.07%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Washington Nationals (Goście)
Prognoza 26.73%3.74kurs godziwy
EV +5.57%
Przewaga +1.41%
Kelly +1.89%
Wzrost +0.105%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.95
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.62%26.66%26.68%28.60%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.583.593.9530.30%27.91%27.82%25.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Philadelphia Phillies (Gospodarze): 73.27%; Washington Nationals (Goście): 26.73%. Dla wyniku Washington Nationals (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.74. 15 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.95, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +5.57%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV +5.57%E +1.41%K +1.89%G +0.105% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV +5.57%E +1.41%K +1.89%G +0.105% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +4.23%E +1.09%K +1.46%G +0.062% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.17%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.83%EV +2.09%E +0.548%K +0.743%G +0.016% | 1.4% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.68%E -6.09%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +1.56%E +0.411%K +0.557%G +0.009% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Unibet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Casumo | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Bally Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| betPARX | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV -0.311%E -0.083%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV -0.311%E -0.083%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Caesars | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -1.11%E -0.301%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 22:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.11%E -0.301%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -7.68%E -6.09%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -1.11%E -0.301%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.68%E -6.09%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.45%E -0.671%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.68%E -6.09%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.45%E -0.671%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 22:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| GTbets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 20:42 |
| theScore Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 20:44 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 20:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 22:33 |
| betano_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -9.14%E -7.37%K -38.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.82%EV -1.81%E -1.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 27.18%EV -4.05%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -4.59%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 20:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.51%EV -1.08%E -0.800%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.49%EV -4.85%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| ReBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Fliff | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| BetUS | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.69%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -5.39%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| Bovada | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
| BetAnything | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| TAB | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 21:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:24 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 21:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -8.60%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 22:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 22:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 20:43 |
| LeoVegas | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -3.28%E -2.48%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -9.67%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 20:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| Betsson | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -11.27%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -11.27%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 22:13 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (10)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Novig | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| BetOpenly | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.73% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 26.27% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| ProphetX | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |