Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-08-07 22:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prediction 65.66%1.52fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -3.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%65.64%65.58%66.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.461.451.5070.92%68.58%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Prediction 34.34%2.91fair odd
EV +3.03%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.51%
Growth +0.046%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.04%34.36%34.42%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.762.753.0038.46%36.22%36.36%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 65.66%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 34.34%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.00, producing a positive expected value of +3.03%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%EV -2.83%E -1.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%EV +3.03%E +1.01%K +1.51%G +0.046%0.9%2026-08-06 22:45
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67%EV -4.14%E -2.84%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%EV +0.281%E +0.096%K +0.146%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-07 00:10
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%EV -2.83%E -1.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%EV -0.406%E -0.140%K -0.214%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 01:00
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%EV -2.17%E -1.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%EV -1.09%E -0.380%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-07 01:25
GTbets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.17%E -1.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -2.12%E -0.745%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-07 00:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.12%E -0.745%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 21:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.17%E -1.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -2.47%E -0.869%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 00:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.17%E -1.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -2.47%E -0.869%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 00:40
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.47%E -0.869%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 21:40
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -2.81%E -0.993%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 00:55
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.48%E -2.37%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 21:55
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.48%E -2.37%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 01:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.48%E -2.37%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 01:15
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 22:45
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 00:54
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 00:00
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 01:50
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 22:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.49%EV -3.48%E -2.37%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -4.18%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 00:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.96%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV -4.18%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:15
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -2.17%E -1.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -4.53%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-07 00:40
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.53%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 01:10
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.53%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 01:10
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -6.11%E -4.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -4.53%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 21:40
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.83%E -1.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.48%E -2.37%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 01:15
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.48%E -2.37%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 01:20
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.48%E -2.37%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 01:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.48%E -2.37%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 01:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.48%E -2.37%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 01:15
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.48%E -2.37%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 01:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.48%E -2.37%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 01:20
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.48%E -2.37%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 01:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 00:05
888sport🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 21:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 00:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 21:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 21:45
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 22:50
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 00:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.83%E -1.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 00:50
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.83%E -1.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 00:54
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.83%E -1.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 00:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:05
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 01:15
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 21:40
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 00:09
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 00:05
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 23:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.45%E -3.79%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 01:20
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.10%EV -7.42%E -5.26%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.90%EV -9.68%E -3.68%K -5.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-07 01:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.51%E -1.01%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 00:50
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.51%E -1.01%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 00:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-07 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-07 00:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 66.89%2.99I 33.44%NM 33.11%1.0%2026-08-07 02:00
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-07 01:00
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%1.6%2026-08-07 02:00
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-08-07 01:50
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%5.3%2026-08-07 01:50
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%7.9%2026-08-07 01:45