L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Philadelphia Phillies v Toronto Blue Jays

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 00:41 UTC

Score final : Philadelphia Phillies 4–5 Toronto Blue Jays

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prévision 65.14%1.54cote équitable
EV -2.30%
Avantage -1.53%
Kelly -4.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.45%65.12%65.17%67.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.461.451.5071.43%68.64%68.97%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.86%2.87cote équitable
EV +2.85%
Avantage +0.965%
Kelly +1.46%
Croissance +0.042%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.80%34.88%34.83%36.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.802.802.9540.00%35.77%35.71%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Philadelphia Phillies (Local) : 65.14% ; Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur) : 34.86%. Pour Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.87. 16 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.95, soit une espérance positive de +2.85%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV +2.85%E +0.965%K +1.46%G +0.042%3.3%2026-08-08 00:35
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV +2.85%E +0.965%K +1.46%G +0.042%3.3%2026-08-08 00:35
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV +2.85%E +0.965%K +1.46%G +0.042%3.3%2026-08-08 00:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV +2.85%E +0.965%K +1.46%G +0.042%3.3%2026-08-08 00:35
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV +2.85%E +0.965%K +1.46%G +0.042%3.3%2026-08-08 00:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV +2.85%E +0.965%K +1.46%G +0.042%3.3%2026-08-08 00:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV +2.85%E +0.965%K +1.46%G +0.042%3.3%2026-08-07 22:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%EV -2.30%E -1.53%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%EV +1.10%E +0.381%K +0.581%G +0.006%1.1%2026-08-07 20:19
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.86%E -4.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +1.10%E +0.381%K +0.581%G +0.006%4.4%2026-08-08 00:35
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.86%E -4.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +1.10%E +0.381%K +0.581%G +0.006%4.4%2026-08-08 00:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.86%E -4.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +0.407%E +0.141%K +0.217%G +0.001%4.7%2026-08-08 00:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.86%E -4.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +0.407%E +0.141%K +0.217%G +0.001%4.7%2026-08-08 00:35
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.86%E -4.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +0.407%E +0.141%K +0.217%G +0.001%4.7%2026-08-07 22:30
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +0.407%E +0.141%K +0.217%G +0.001%5.1%2026-08-08 00:35
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.68%EV -2.30%E -1.53%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.32%EV +0.059%E +0.020%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-07 19:40
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV +0.059%E +0.020%K +0.031%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-07 19:38
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.95%E -1.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -0.290%E -0.101%K -0.156%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 23:05
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -0.639%E -0.224%K -0.345%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-07 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -8.16%E -5.79%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -0.639%E -0.224%K -0.345%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 00:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.95%E -1.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -0.987%E -0.348%K -0.537%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 21:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.95%E -1.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -0.987%E -0.348%K -0.537%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 21:05
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.36%EV -2.30%E -1.53%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.64%EV -1.34%E -0.472%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-07 22:50
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 22:41
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 23:05
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -2.95%E -1.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -3.08%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-07 21:05
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.08%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 23:05
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.08%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 00:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 21:05
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 20:40
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 22:40
Fanatics🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 21:00
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:40
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 10:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.30%E -1.53%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 00:35
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.30%E -1.53%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 20:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 00:40
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 00:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:35
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 22:45
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 19:40
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 19:45
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 00:35
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 00:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -8.31%E -3.16%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 23:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 00:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-08-08 00:10
Polymarket◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-08-08 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-08-08 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-08-08 00:35
ProphetX◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-08-08 00:40
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-07 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.1%2026-08-08 00:40
Matchbook◎1.41I 70.92%NM 63.57%2.46I 40.65%NM 36.43%11.6%2026-08-08 00:10