預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Philadelphia Phillies v Toronto Blue Jays

開賽時間: 2026-08-08 00:41 UTC

最終賽果: Philadelphia Phillies 4–5 Toronto Blue Jays

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

47 家博彩公司 (15 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Philadelphia Phillies (主隊)

預測 65.14%1.54公平賠率
EV -2.30%
優勢 -1.53%
Kelly -4.59%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.50

博彩公司預測分布
63.45%65.12%65.17%67.20%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.401.461.451.5071.43%68.64%68.97%66.67%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Toronto Blue Jays (客隊)

預測 34.86%2.87公平賠率
EV +2.85%
優勢 +0.965%
Kelly +1.46%
成長率 +0.042%

假設最高賠率為 2.95

博彩公司預測分布
32.80%34.88%34.83%36.55%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.502.802.802.9540.00%35.77%35.71%33.90%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Philadelphia Phillies (主隊):65.14%;Toronto Blue Jays (客隊):34.86%。 對於「Toronto Blue Jays (客隊)」,該估計相當於2.87的公平十進位賠率。 當時有16家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為2.95,對應+2.85%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (47 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV +2.85%E +0.965%K +1.46%G +0.042%3.3%2026-08-08 00:35
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV +2.85%E +0.965%K +1.46%G +0.042%3.3%2026-08-08 00:35
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV +2.85%E +0.965%K +1.46%G +0.042%3.3%2026-08-08 00:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV +2.85%E +0.965%K +1.46%G +0.042%3.3%2026-08-08 00:35
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV +2.85%E +0.965%K +1.46%G +0.042%3.3%2026-08-08 00:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV +2.85%E +0.965%K +1.46%G +0.042%3.3%2026-08-08 00:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV +2.85%E +0.965%K +1.46%G +0.042%3.3%2026-08-07 22:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%EV -2.30%E -1.53%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%EV +1.10%E +0.381%K +0.581%G +0.006%1.1%2026-08-07 20:19
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.86%E -4.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +1.10%E +0.381%K +0.581%G +0.006%4.4%2026-08-08 00:35
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.86%E -4.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +1.10%E +0.381%K +0.581%G +0.006%4.4%2026-08-08 00:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.86%E -4.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +0.407%E +0.141%K +0.217%G +0.001%4.7%2026-08-08 00:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.86%E -4.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +0.407%E +0.141%K +0.217%G +0.001%4.7%2026-08-08 00:35
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.86%E -4.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +0.407%E +0.141%K +0.217%G +0.001%4.7%2026-08-07 22:30
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +0.407%E +0.141%K +0.217%G +0.001%5.1%2026-08-08 00:35
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.68%EV -2.30%E -1.53%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.32%EV +0.059%E +0.020%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-07 19:40
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV +0.059%E +0.020%K +0.031%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-07 19:38
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.95%E -1.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -0.290%E -0.101%K -0.156%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 23:05
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -0.639%E -0.224%K -0.345%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-07 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -8.16%E -5.79%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -0.639%E -0.224%K -0.345%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 00:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.95%E -1.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -0.987%E -0.348%K -0.537%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 21:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.95%E -1.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -0.987%E -0.348%K -0.537%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 21:05
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.36%EV -2.30%E -1.53%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.64%EV -1.34%E -0.472%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-07 22:50
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 22:41
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 23:05
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -2.95%E -1.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -3.08%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-07 21:05
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.08%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 23:05
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.08%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 00:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 21:05
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 20:40
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 22:40
Fanatics🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 21:00
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:40
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 10:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.30%E -1.53%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 00:35
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.30%E -1.53%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 20:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 00:40
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 00:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:35
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 22:45
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 19:40
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 19:45
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 00:35
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 00:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -8.31%E -3.16%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 23:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 00:35
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Novig◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-08-08 00:10
Polymarket◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-08-08 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-08-08 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-08-08 00:35
ProphetX◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-08-08 00:40
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-07 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.1%2026-08-08 00:40
Matchbook◎1.41I 70.92%NM 63.57%2.46I 40.65%NM 36.43%11.6%2026-08-08 00:10