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Philadelphia Phillies v Toronto Blue Jays
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Predicción 65.14%1.54momio equitativo
EV -2.30%
Ventaja -1.53%
Kelly -4.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.45%65.12%65.17%67.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.461.451.5071.43%68.64%68.97%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)
Predicción 34.86%2.87momio equitativo
EV +2.85%
Ventaja +0.965%
Kelly +1.46%
Crecimiento +0.042%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.80%34.88%34.83%36.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.802.802.9540.00%35.77%35.71%33.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 65.14%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 34.86%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.87. 16 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.95, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.85%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV +2.85%E +0.965%K +1.46%G +0.042% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV +2.85%E +0.965%K +1.46%G +0.042% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV +2.85%E +0.965%K +1.46%G +0.042% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV +2.85%E +0.965%K +1.46%G +0.042% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV +2.85%E +0.965%K +1.46%G +0.042% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV +2.85%E +0.965%K +1.46%G +0.042% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV +2.85%E +0.965%K +1.46%G +0.042% | 3.3% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%EV -2.30%E -1.53%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%EV +1.10%E +0.381%K +0.581%G +0.006% | 1.1% | 2026-08-07 20:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.86%E -4.79%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +1.10%E +0.381%K +0.581%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.86%E -4.79%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +1.10%E +0.381%K +0.581%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.86%E -4.79%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +0.407%E +0.141%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.86%E -4.79%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +0.407%E +0.141%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.86%E -4.79%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +0.407%E +0.141%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +0.407%E +0.141%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.68%EV -2.30%E -1.53%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.32%EV +0.059%E +0.020%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-07 19:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV +0.059%E +0.020%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-07 19:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.95%E -1.98%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -0.290%E -0.101%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -0.639%E -0.224%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-07 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -8.16%E -5.79%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -0.639%E -0.224%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.95%E -1.98%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -0.987%E -0.348%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 21:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.95%E -1.98%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -0.987%E -0.348%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 21:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.36%EV -2.30%E -1.53%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.64%EV -1.34%E -0.472%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-07 22:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 22:41 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -2.95%E -1.98%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -3.08%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-07 21:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.08%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.08%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 21:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 21:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.30%E -1.53%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.30%E -1.53%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 20:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 22:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 19:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 19:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -8.31%E -3.16%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 23:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-08-07 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.57% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 36.43% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |