Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Philadelphia Phillies v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-08-07 22:41 UTC — MLB

Zwycięzca spotkania

60 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Philadelphia Phillies (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 65.66%1.52kurs godziwy
EV -1.51%
Przewaga -1.00%
Kelly -3.01%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
63.41%65.64%65.59%66.96%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.411.461.451.5070.92%68.62%68.97%66.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Toronto Blue Jays (Goście)

Prognoza 34.34%2.91kurs godziwy
EV +3.01%
Przewaga +1.00%
Kelly +1.51%
Wzrost +0.045%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
33.04%34.36%34.41%36.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.602.762.753.0038.46%36.19%36.36%33.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: Philadelphia Phillies (Gospodarze): 65.66%; Toronto Blue Jays (Goście): 34.34%. Dla wyniku Toronto Blue Jays (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.91. 2 bukmacherów oferuje kursy powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 3.00, co daje dodatnią wartość oczekiwaną +3.01%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (60 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%EV -2.82%E -1.90%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%EV +3.01%E +1.00%K +1.51%G +0.045%0.9%2026-08-06 22:45
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67%EV -4.13%E -2.83%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%EV +0.264%E +0.090%K +0.137%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-07 00:10
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%EV -2.82%E -1.90%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%EV -0.423%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 01:00
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%EV -2.16%E -1.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%EV -1.11%E -0.385%K -0.590%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-07 01:25
GTbets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.16%E -1.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -2.14%E -0.751%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-07 00:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.45%E -3.78%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.14%E -0.751%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 21:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.14%E -0.751%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 02:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.16%E -1.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -2.48%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 00:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.16%E -1.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -2.48%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 00:40
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.48%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 21:40
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -5.45%E -3.78%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -2.83%E -0.999%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 00:55
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.48%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 21:55
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.48%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 01:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.48%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 01:15
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 22:45
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 00:54
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 00:00
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 01:50
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.45%E -3.78%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.45%E -3.78%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 22:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.49%EV -3.48%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -4.20%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 00:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.96%EV -5.45%E -3.78%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV -4.20%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:15
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -2.16%E -1.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -4.54%E -1.63%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-07 00:40
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.54%E -1.63%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 02:10
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.45%E -3.78%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.54%E -1.63%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 01:10
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.45%E -3.78%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.54%E -1.63%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 01:10
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -6.10%E -4.27%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -4.54%E -1.63%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 21:40
BetAnything🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.13%E -2.83%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 02:05
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.82%E -1.90%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.48%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 01:15
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.48%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 01:20
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.48%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 01:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.48%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 01:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.48%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 01:15
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.48%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 01:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.48%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 01:20
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.48%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 01:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 00:05
888sport🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 21:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 00:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 21:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 21:45
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.45%E -3.78%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 22:50
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.45%E -3.78%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 00:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.82%E -1.90%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 00:50
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.82%E -1.90%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 00:54
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.82%E -1.90%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 00:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:05
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 01:15
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.45%E -3.78%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 21:40
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.45%E -3.78%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 00:09
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.45%E -3.78%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 00:05
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.45%E -3.78%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.45%E -3.78%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 23:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.45%E -3.78%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 01:20
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.10%EV -7.41%E -5.26%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.90%EV -9.69%E -3.69%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-07 01:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.51%E -1.00%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.72%E -4.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 00:50
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.51%E -1.00%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.72%E -4.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 00:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.72%E -4.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-07 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.72%E -4.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-07 00:05
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-08-07 02:45
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 66.89%2.99I 33.44%NM 33.11%1.0%2026-08-07 02:00
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-07 01:00
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-08-07 01:50
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%4.5%2026-08-07 02:30
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 64.18%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%8.2%2026-08-07 02:40