Language:English
Philadelphia Phillies v Toronto Blue Jays
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 67.79%1.48fair odd
EV -0.344%
Edge -0.234%
Kelly -0.731%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.06%67.50%67.82%69.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.411.411.4773.53%70.69%70.92%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)
Prediction 32.21%3.10fair odd
EV +3.06%
Edge +0.957%
Kelly +1.39%
Growth +0.043%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.89%32.50%32.18%34.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.942.953.2037.04%33.99%33.90%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 67.79%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 32.21%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.10. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.06%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%EV +3.06%E +0.957%K +1.39%G +0.043% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV +1.45%E +0.461%K +0.675%G +0.010% | 2.7% | 2026-08-09 17:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.21%EV +0.807%E +0.258%K +0.379%G +0.003% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -0.159%E -0.051%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -0.159%E -0.051%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.60%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -0.804%E -0.261%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV -1.77%E -0.580%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV -1.77%E -0.580%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -1.77%E -0.580%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.77%E -0.580%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.77%E -0.580%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -2.74%E -0.906%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 17:23 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.12%E -5.20%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 16:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -4.35%E -1.46%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 17:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 15:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 17:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 15:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.77%E -4.15%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.63%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 17:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 15:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.45%E -4.67%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 15:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.45%E -4.67%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -7.24%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.45%E -4.67%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 17:23 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.80%E -5.74%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -0.344%E -0.234%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.70%E -1.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.70%E -1.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.70%E -1.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -11.43%E -4.16%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.43%E -4.16%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.70%E -1.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -13.04%E -4.83%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 17:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.70%E -1.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -13.04%E -4.83%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 17:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -13.04%E -4.83%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.61% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 31.39% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 16:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.7% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |