StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Philadelphia Phillies v Toronto Blue Jays

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-09 17:36 UTC

Endstand: Philadelphia Phillies 7–6 Toronto Blue Jays

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Philadelphia Phillies (Heim)

Prognose 67.79%1.48faire Quote
EV -0.344%
Vorteil -0.234%
Kelly -0.731%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.47

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
65.06%67.50%67.82%69.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.361.411.411.4773.53%70.69%70.92%68.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Auswärts)

Prognose 32.21%3.10faire Quote
EV +3.06%
Vorteil +0.957%
Kelly +1.39%
Wachstum +0.043%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
30.89%32.50%32.18%34.94%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.702.942.953.2037.04%33.99%33.90%31.25%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Philadelphia Phillies (Heim): 67.79%; Toronto Blue Jays (Auswärts): 32.21%. Für Toronto Blue Jays (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.10. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.20 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.06%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%EV +3.06%E +0.957%K +1.39%G +0.043%1.2%2026-08-09 17:34
Caesars🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV +1.45%E +0.461%K +0.675%G +0.010%2.7%2026-08-09 17:24
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.21%EV +0.807%E +0.258%K +0.379%G +0.003%2.4%2026-08-09 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -0.159%E -0.051%K -0.076%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-09 17:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -0.159%E -0.051%K -0.076%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-09 17:30
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.60%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -0.804%E -0.261%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-09 17:35
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV -1.77%E -0.580%K -0.863%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-09 17:35
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV -1.77%E -0.580%K -0.863%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-09 16:20
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -1.77%E -0.580%K -0.863%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-09 17:30
ReBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.77%E -0.580%K -0.863%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 17:34
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.77%E -0.580%K -0.863%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 17:10
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -2.74%E -0.906%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-09 17:30
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 15:45
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 17:23
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 17:30
Fanatics🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 16:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 17:34
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.12%E -5.20%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 16:54
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -4.35%E -1.46%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 17:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 17:34
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 17:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 15:45
Fliff🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 17:30
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 17:10
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 15:44
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 15:45
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 15:45
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 15:45
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 16:14
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:25
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:25
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 15:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.77%E -4.15%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 17:34
Coolbet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.63%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 17:10
theScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 15:09
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 16:20
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 17:30
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 17:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 17:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.45%E -4.67%K -16.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 15:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.45%E -4.67%K -16.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -7.24%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 15:10
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.45%E -4.67%K -16.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:23
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.80%E -5.74%K -21.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -0.344%E -0.234%K -0.731%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 17:34
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.70%E -1.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.70%E -1.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 17:30
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.70%E -1.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -11.43%E -4.16%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:35
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.43%E -4.16%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 17:34
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.70%E -1.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -13.04%E -4.83%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 17:24
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.70%E -1.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -13.04%E -4.83%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 17:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -13.04%E -4.83%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 17:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.61%3.17I 31.55%NM 31.39%0.5%2026-08-09 16:20
Matchbook◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-08-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-08-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-08-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-08-09 17:35
Kalshi◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-08-09 16:10
Polymarket◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-08-09 17:35
ProphetX◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-08-09 17:20
Smarkets◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-08-09 16:55
BetOpenly◎1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-08-09 17:34